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information, not financial advice. No calibrated crash probability, crash date, bubble-burst countdown or formal business-cycle phase is established. High valuation is vulnerability, not proof of a bubble or its timing. A lack of measured stress is not a guarantee of safety. Indicators overlap; OFR components are parts of one index, not independent votes. Latest published data has daily, weekly, monthly and quarterly delays. Historical evaluation uses revised data and few recession episodes; it does not validate crash forecasts."},"scope":{"text":"United States macroeconomic evidence and OFR global financial stress only. No comprehensive diagnosis of other major economies, individual assets, AI stocks, geopolitical events or intraday markets. BIS debt-service data is excluded from the external model because Contributor training permission is not established."},"source_attribution":{"text":"Sources: US Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Federal Reserve Board, US Treasury and Office of Financial Research. Independent ECO I analysis; no agency endorsement. BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov."},"weekly_comparison":{"changes":[],"status":"FIRST_RECORDED_WEEK"}},"generated_at":"2026-09-08T21:24:39.640742Z","limitations":"Experimental information, not financial advice. No calibrated crash probability, crash date, bubble-burst countdown or formal business-cycle phase is established. High valuation is vulnerability, not proof of a bubble or its timing. A lack of measured stress is not a guarantee of safety. Indicators overlap; OFR components are parts of one index, not independent votes. Latest published data has daily, weekly, monthly and quarterly delays. 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