U.S. ECONOMY & MARKETS27 Oct 2026 · 00:36 UTC
IndicatorsG4e oecd leading indicator

INDICATOR DETAIL

OECD composite leading indicator (four largest euro-area economies)

100.92index_long_term_average_100
ValidPeriod ending 30 Sep 2026Available 22 Oct 2026 · 20:24 UTC

OECD composite leading indicator (four largest euro-area economies)

History

778 readings.

All retained dates

Dates refer to the economic period ending and apply to all charts below. Leave a date blank for an open range.

Published metric history, index_long_term_average_100180 observed values from 2011-10-31 to 2026-09-30. Horizontal position follows economic dates. Lines stop at explicitly missing source periods. Recent exact values follow in the table; all retained readings are available through the pinned JSON query.90951002011-10-31: 99.93 index_long_term_average_1002011-11-30: 99.69 index_long_term_average_1002011-12-31: 99.51 index_long_term_average_1002012-01-31: 99.38 index_long_term_average_1002012-02-29: 99.3 index_long_term_average_1002012-03-31: 99.22 index_long_term_average_1002012-04-30: 99.12 index_long_term_average_1002012-05-31: 99 index_long_term_average_1002012-06-30: 98.89 index_long_term_average_1002012-07-31: 98.8 index_long_term_average_1002012-08-31: 98.74 index_long_term_average_1002012-09-30: 98.7 index_long_term_average_1002012-10-31: 98.7 index_long_term_average_1002012-11-30: 98.73 index_long_term_average_1002012-12-31: 98.8 index_long_term_average_1002013-01-31: 98.9 index_long_term_average_1002013-02-28: 99.02 index_long_term_average_1002013-03-31: 99.14 index_long_term_average_1002013-04-30: 99.27 index_long_term_average_1002013-05-31: 99.44 index_long_term_average_1002013-06-30: 99.63 index_long_term_average_1002013-07-31: 99.84 index_long_term_average_1002013-08-31: 100.05 index_long_term_average_1002013-09-30: 100.24 index_long_term_average_1002013-10-31: 100.38 index_long_term_average_1002013-11-30: 100.48 index_long_term_average_1002013-12-31: 100.55 index_long_term_average_1002014-01-31: 100.6 index_long_term_average_1002014-02-28: 100.63 index_long_term_average_1002014-03-31: 100.62 index_long_term_average_1002014-04-30: 100.57 index_long_term_average_1002014-05-31: 100.47 index_long_term_average_1002014-06-30: 100.33 index_long_term_average_1002014-07-31: 100.17 index_long_term_average_1002014-08-31: 100.02 index_long_term_average_1002014-09-30: 99.91 index_long_term_average_1002014-10-31: 99.84 index_long_term_average_1002014-11-30: 99.83 index_long_term_average_1002014-12-31: 99.88 index_long_term_average_1002015-01-31: 99.97 index_long_term_average_1002015-02-28: 100.09 index_long_term_average_1002015-03-31: 100.21 index_long_term_average_1002015-04-30: 100.29 index_long_term_average_1002015-05-31: 100.34 index_long_term_average_1002015-06-30: 100.35 index_long_term_average_1002015-07-31: 100.34 index_long_term_average_1002015-08-31: 100.32 index_long_term_average_1002015-09-30: 100.29 index_long_term_average_1002015-10-31: 100.25 index_long_term_average_1002015-11-30: 100.2 index_long_term_average_1002015-12-31: 100.14 index_long_term_average_1002016-01-31: 100.08 index_long_term_average_1002016-02-29: 100.01 index_long_term_average_1002016-03-31: 99.96 index_long_term_average_1002016-04-30: 99.91 index_long_term_average_1002016-05-31: 99.87 index_long_term_average_1002016-06-30: 99.85 index_long_term_average_1002016-07-31: 99.85 index_long_term_average_1002016-08-31: 99.9 index_long_term_average_1002016-09-30: 100 index_long_term_average_1002016-10-31: 100.12 index_long_term_average_1002016-11-30: 100.25 index_long_term_average_1002016-12-31: 100.39 index_long_term_average_1002017-01-31: 100.53 index_long_term_average_1002017-02-28: 100.66 index_long_term_average_1002017-03-31: 100.78 index_long_term_average_1002017-04-30: 100.89 index_long_term_average_1002017-05-31: 100.99 index_long_term_average_1002017-06-30: 101.08 index_long_term_average_1002017-07-31: 101.17 index_long_term_average_1002017-08-31: 101.25 index_long_term_average_1002017-09-30: 101.32 index_long_term_average_1002017-10-31: 101.37 index_long_term_average_1002017-11-30: 101.38 index_long_term_average_1002017-12-31: 101.35 index_long_term_average_1002018-01-31: 101.29 index_long_term_average_1002018-02-28: 101.2 index_long_term_average_1002018-03-31: 101.09 index_long_term_average_1002018-04-30: 100.97 index_long_term_average_1002018-05-31: 100.84 index_long_term_average_1002018-06-30: 100.69 index_long_term_average_1002018-07-31: 100.51 index_long_term_average_1002018-08-31: 100.32 index_long_term_average_1002018-09-30: 100.1 index_long_term_average_1002018-10-31: 99.88 index_long_term_average_1002018-11-30: 99.67 index_long_term_average_1002018-12-31: 99.49 index_long_term_average_1002019-01-31: 99.35 index_long_term_average_1002019-02-28: 99.25 index_long_term_average_1002019-03-31: 99.18 index_long_term_average_1002019-04-30: 99.12 index_long_term_average_1002019-05-31: 99.07 index_long_term_average_1002019-06-30: 99.02 index_long_term_average_1002019-07-31: 98.98 index_long_term_average_1002019-08-31: 98.96 index_long_term_average_1002019-09-30: 98.97 index_long_term_average_1002019-10-31: 99.01 index_long_term_average_1002019-11-30: 99.08 index_long_term_average_1002019-12-31: 99.16 index_long_term_average_1002020-01-31: 99.24 index_long_term_average_1002020-02-29: 99.33 index_long_term_average_1002020-03-31: 95.54 index_long_term_average_1002020-04-30: 89.19 index_long_term_average_1002020-05-31: 92.32 index_long_term_average_1002020-06-30: 96.67 index_long_term_average_1002020-07-31: 98.5 index_long_term_average_1002020-08-31: 98.93 index_long_term_average_1002020-09-30: 98.92 index_long_term_average_1002020-10-31: 98.99 index_long_term_average_1002020-11-30: 99.12 index_long_term_average_1002020-12-31: 99.55 index_long_term_average_1002021-01-31: 99.7 index_long_term_average_1002021-02-28: 100.16 index_long_term_average_1002021-03-31: 100.84 index_long_term_average_1002021-04-30: 101.39 index_long_term_average_1002021-05-31: 101.89 index_long_term_average_1002021-06-30: 102.28 index_long_term_average_1002021-07-31: 102.51 index_long_term_average_1002021-08-31: 102.58 index_long_term_average_1002021-09-30: 102.55 index_long_term_average_1002021-10-31: 102.42 index_long_term_average_1002021-11-30: 102.21 index_long_term_average_1002021-12-31: 101.91 index_long_term_average_1002022-01-31: 101.5 index_long_term_average_1002022-02-28: 101 index_long_term_average_1002022-03-31: 100.46 index_long_term_average_1002022-04-30: 99.93 index_long_term_average_1002022-05-31: 99.45 index_long_term_average_1002022-06-30: 99.01 index_long_term_average_1002022-07-31: 98.64 index_long_term_average_1002022-08-31: 98.36 index_long_term_average_1002022-09-30: 98.17 index_long_term_average_1002022-10-31: 98.12 index_long_term_average_1002022-11-30: 98.18 index_long_term_average_1002022-12-31: 98.32 index_long_term_average_1002023-01-31: 98.5 index_long_term_average_1002023-02-28: 98.67 index_long_term_average_1002023-03-31: 98.8 index_long_term_average_1002023-04-30: 98.89 index_long_term_average_1002023-05-31: 98.93 index_long_term_average_1002023-06-30: 98.93 index_long_term_average_1002023-07-31: 98.92 index_long_term_average_1002023-08-31: 98.93 index_long_term_average_1002023-09-30: 98.96 index_long_term_average_1002023-10-31: 99.01 index_long_term_average_1002023-11-30: 99.07 index_long_term_average_1002023-12-31: 99.15 index_long_term_average_1002024-01-31: 99.23 index_long_term_average_1002024-02-29: 99.31 index_long_term_average_1002024-03-31: 99.39 index_long_term_average_1002024-04-30: 99.47 index_long_term_average_1002024-05-31: 99.54 index_long_term_average_1002024-06-30: 99.59 index_long_term_average_1002024-07-31: 99.6 index_long_term_average_1002024-08-31: 99.59 index_long_term_average_1002024-09-30: 99.55 index_long_term_average_1002024-10-31: 99.52 index_long_term_average_1002024-11-30: 99.49 index_long_term_average_1002024-12-31: 99.49 index_long_term_average_1002025-01-31: 99.53 index_long_term_average_1002025-02-28: 99.61 index_long_term_average_1002025-03-31: 99.7 index_long_term_average_1002025-04-30: 99.82 index_long_term_average_1002025-05-31: 99.95 index_long_term_average_1002025-06-30: 100.1 index_long_term_average_1002025-07-31: 100.24 index_long_term_average_1002025-08-31: 100.37 index_long_term_average_1002025-09-30: 100.49 index_long_term_average_1002025-10-31: 100.6 index_long_term_average_1002025-11-30: 100.66 index_long_term_average_1002025-12-31: 100.68 index_long_term_average_1002026-01-31: 100.66 index_long_term_average_1002026-02-28: 100.61 index_long_term_average_1002026-03-31: 100.53 index_long_term_average_1002026-04-30: 100.48 index_long_term_average_1002026-05-31: 100.48 index_long_term_average_1002026-06-30: 100.55 index_long_term_average_1002026-07-31: 100.66 index_long_term_average_1002026-08-31: 100.8 index_long_term_average_1002026-09-30: 100.92 index_long_term_average_10031 Oct 201116 Apr 201930 Sep 2026

Showing periods 599–778 of 778 in this date range. Each chart page contains at most 180 original periods; values are not downsampled. All retained snapshot-selected periods are available.

Uses the data available in this saved assessment; later revisions may change historical values. This reconstructed chart does not show what was known on each historical date. Missing source periods break the line; unavailable metric values are omitted. Quality is evaluated at the assessment date.

Exact values · final 12 periods in this chart window
Exact plotted metric readings
Economic periodValueUnitQuality
31 Oct 2025100.6index_long_term_average_100Valid
30 Nov 2025100.66index_long_term_average_100Valid
31 Dec 2025100.68index_long_term_average_100Valid
31 Jan 2026100.66index_long_term_average_100Valid
28 Feb 2026100.61index_long_term_average_100Valid
31 Mar 2026100.53index_long_term_average_100Valid
30 Apr 2026100.48index_long_term_average_100Valid
31 May 2026100.48index_long_term_average_100Valid
30 Jun 2026100.55index_long_term_average_100Valid
31 Jul 2026100.66index_long_term_average_100Valid
31 Aug 2026100.8index_long_term_average_100Valid
30 Sep 2026100.92index_long_term_average_100Valid
Method, sources and timing

Economic period & freshness

Calculation uses the latest completed observation available at evaluation time, with its actual economic period and original availability. An older period contributes to assessment only within the configured source-age limit. Newly observed missing or invalid evidence is not replaced with an earlier value. Source status uses economic-age thresholds, not a release calendar; no future release time is inferred.

Source timing diagnostics
InputLatest source periodObservation ageAvailable to ECO ISource status
G4e oecd leading indicator30 Sep 202627 days22 Oct 2026 · 20:24 UTCCurrent
THE PUBLISHED TRANSFORMOutput the latest original published value for its native economic period.

Amplitude-adjusted, long-term average = 100. Turning points, not levels, carry the signal; the OECD targets turning points in activity about six to nine months ahead. Recent months are revised as components arrive, and the 2023 method revision changed history; it is context, not an ECO I rule. Monthly OECD release about five to six weeks after the month; availability is the first retrieval.

Definition 11.0.0 · g4e_oecd_leading_indicator
VALIDATION MATURITY

Research informed

OECD composite leading indicators anticipate turning points in activity about six to nine months ahead.

Published official-source context; the complete assessment and these supplementary growth/capacity interpretations are not established as calibrated crisis forecasts.

SOURCE OBSERVATIONS

G4e oecd leading indicator

See the pinned report and definition reference.

Canonical observations JSON ↗
Canonical source observations
Period endingSource valueUnitQualityAvailable to ECO I
28 Feb 2026100.608index_long_term_average_100Valid22 Oct 2026 · 20:24 UTC
31 Mar 2026100.5329index_long_term_average_100Valid22 Oct 2026 · 20:24 UTC
30 Apr 2026100.4764index_long_term_average_100Valid22 Oct 2026 · 20:24 UTC
31 May 2026100.4786index_long_term_average_100Valid22 Oct 2026 · 20:24 UTC
30 Jun 2026100.545index_long_term_average_100Valid22 Oct 2026 · 20:24 UTC
31 Jul 2026100.6617index_long_term_average_100Valid22 Oct 2026 · 20:24 UTC
31 Aug 2026100.7962index_long_term_average_100Valid22 Oct 2026 · 20:24 UTC
30 Sep 2026100.9228index_long_term_average_100Valid22 Oct 2026 · 20:24 UTC
Chart source observations · 180 periods in this windowCanonical source observations, index_long_term_average_100180 observed values from 2011-10-31 to 2026-09-30. Horizontal position follows economic dates. Lines stop at explicitly missing source periods. Recent exact values follow in the table; all retained readings are available through the pinned JSON query.90951002011-10-31: 99.93 index_long_term_average_1002011-11-30: 99.69 index_long_term_average_1002011-12-31: 99.51 index_long_term_average_1002012-01-31: 99.38 index_long_term_average_1002012-02-29: 99.2983 index_long_term_average_1002012-03-31: 99.22 index_long_term_average_1002012-04-30: 99.1171 index_long_term_average_1002012-05-31: 99.00 index_long_term_average_1002012-06-30: 98.89 index_long_term_average_1002012-07-31: 98.80 index_long_term_average_1002012-08-31: 98.74 index_long_term_average_1002012-09-30: 98.70 index_long_term_average_1002012-10-31: 98.70 index_long_term_average_1002012-11-30: 98.73 index_long_term_average_1002012-12-31: 98.80 index_long_term_average_1002013-01-31: 98.90 index_long_term_average_1002013-02-28: 99.02 index_long_term_average_1002013-03-31: 99.1367 index_long_term_average_1002013-04-30: 99.27 index_long_term_average_1002013-05-31: 99.44 index_long_term_average_1002013-06-30: 99.6295 index_long_term_average_1002013-07-31: 99.84 index_long_term_average_1002013-08-31: 100.0521 index_long_term_average_1002013-09-30: 100.2376 index_long_term_average_1002013-10-31: 100.3776 index_long_term_average_1002013-11-30: 100.4807 index_long_term_average_1002013-12-31: 100.5536 index_long_term_average_1002014-01-31: 100.6033 index_long_term_average_1002014-02-28: 100.6264 index_long_term_average_1002014-03-31: 100.6202 index_long_term_average_1002014-04-30: 100.5694 index_long_term_average_1002014-05-31: 100.4676 index_long_term_average_1002014-06-30: 100.3279 index_long_term_average_1002014-07-31: 100.172 index_long_term_average_1002014-08-31: 100.0231 index_long_term_average_1002014-09-30: 99.91 index_long_term_average_1002014-10-31: 99.84 index_long_term_average_1002014-11-30: 99.83 index_long_term_average_1002014-12-31: 99.88 index_long_term_average_1002015-01-31: 99.97 index_long_term_average_1002015-02-28: 100.0923 index_long_term_average_1002015-03-31: 100.2058 index_long_term_average_1002015-04-30: 100.2905 index_long_term_average_1002015-05-31: 100.3355 index_long_term_average_1002015-06-30: 100.3508 index_long_term_average_1002015-07-31: 100.3404 index_long_term_average_1002015-08-31: 100.3159 index_long_term_average_1002015-09-30: 100.287 index_long_term_average_1002015-10-31: 100.2517 index_long_term_average_1002015-11-30: 100.2043 index_long_term_average_1002015-12-31: 100.1445 index_long_term_average_1002016-01-31: 100.0778 index_long_term_average_1002016-02-29: 100.0113 index_long_term_average_1002016-03-31: 99.96 index_long_term_average_1002016-04-30: 99.91 index_long_term_average_1002016-05-31: 99.8688 index_long_term_average_1002016-06-30: 99.85 index_long_term_average_1002016-07-31: 99.85 index_long_term_average_1002016-08-31: 99.90 index_long_term_average_1002016-09-30: 100.00 index_long_term_average_1002016-10-31: 100.1165 index_long_term_average_1002016-11-30: 100.2497 index_long_term_average_1002016-12-31: 100.3926 index_long_term_average_1002017-01-31: 100.5326 index_long_term_average_1002017-02-28: 100.6647 index_long_term_average_1002017-03-31: 100.7841 index_long_term_average_1002017-04-30: 100.8879 index_long_term_average_1002017-05-31: 100.9864 index_long_term_average_1002017-06-30: 101.08 index_long_term_average_1002017-07-31: 101.1699 index_long_term_average_1002017-08-31: 101.2543 index_long_term_average_1002017-09-30: 101.3248 index_long_term_average_1002017-10-31: 101.3668 index_long_term_average_1002017-11-30: 101.377 index_long_term_average_1002017-12-31: 101.3533 index_long_term_average_1002018-01-31: 101.2897 index_long_term_average_1002018-02-28: 101.1968 index_long_term_average_1002018-03-31: 101.086 index_long_term_average_1002018-04-30: 100.9658 index_long_term_average_1002018-05-31: 100.8353 index_long_term_average_1002018-06-30: 100.6864 index_long_term_average_1002018-07-31: 100.5146 index_long_term_average_1002018-08-31: 100.3165 index_long_term_average_1002018-09-30: 100.0972 index_long_term_average_1002018-10-31: 99.88 index_long_term_average_1002018-11-30: 99.67 index_long_term_average_1002018-12-31: 99.49 index_long_term_average_1002019-01-31: 99.3468 index_long_term_average_1002019-02-28: 99.25 index_long_term_average_1002019-03-31: 99.18 index_long_term_average_1002019-04-30: 99.12 index_long_term_average_1002019-05-31: 99.07 index_long_term_average_1002019-06-30: 99.02 index_long_term_average_1002019-07-31: 98.98 index_long_term_average_1002019-08-31: 98.96 index_long_term_average_1002019-09-30: 98.97 index_long_term_average_1002019-10-31: 99.01 index_long_term_average_1002019-11-30: 99.08 index_long_term_average_1002019-12-31: 99.16 index_long_term_average_1002020-01-31: 99.24 index_long_term_average_1002020-02-29: 99.33 index_long_term_average_1002020-03-31: 95.54 index_long_term_average_1002020-04-30: 89.19 index_long_term_average_1002020-05-31: 92.32 index_long_term_average_1002020-06-30: 96.67 index_long_term_average_1002020-07-31: 98.50 index_long_term_average_1002020-08-31: 98.93 index_long_term_average_1002020-09-30: 98.92 index_long_term_average_1002020-10-31: 98.9916 index_long_term_average_1002020-11-30: 99.1233 index_long_term_average_1002020-12-31: 99.55 index_long_term_average_1002021-01-31: 99.70 index_long_term_average_1002021-02-28: 100.1576 index_long_term_average_1002021-03-31: 100.8383 index_long_term_average_1002021-04-30: 101.3946 index_long_term_average_1002021-05-31: 101.8949 index_long_term_average_1002021-06-30: 102.2834 index_long_term_average_1002021-07-31: 102.5052 index_long_term_average_1002021-08-31: 102.5834 index_long_term_average_1002021-09-30: 102.5472 index_long_term_average_1002021-10-31: 102.4191 index_long_term_average_1002021-11-30: 102.2081 index_long_term_average_1002021-12-31: 101.9063 index_long_term_average_1002022-01-31: 101.5012 index_long_term_average_1002022-02-28: 101.0027 index_long_term_average_1002022-03-31: 100.4572 index_long_term_average_1002022-04-30: 99.93 index_long_term_average_1002022-05-31: 99.45 index_long_term_average_1002022-06-30: 99.01 index_long_term_average_1002022-07-31: 98.64 index_long_term_average_1002022-08-31: 98.3574 index_long_term_average_1002022-09-30: 98.1725 index_long_term_average_1002022-10-31: 98.12 index_long_term_average_1002022-11-30: 98.18 index_long_term_average_1002022-12-31: 98.32 index_long_term_average_1002023-01-31: 98.50 index_long_term_average_1002023-02-28: 98.668 index_long_term_average_1002023-03-31: 98.80 index_long_term_average_1002023-04-30: 98.89 index_long_term_average_1002023-05-31: 98.93 index_long_term_average_1002023-06-30: 98.93 index_long_term_average_1002023-07-31: 98.9233 index_long_term_average_1002023-08-31: 98.93 index_long_term_average_1002023-09-30: 98.96 index_long_term_average_1002023-10-31: 99.01 index_long_term_average_1002023-11-30: 99.07 index_long_term_average_1002023-12-31: 99.15 index_long_term_average_1002024-01-31: 99.23 index_long_term_average_1002024-02-29: 99.31 index_long_term_average_1002024-03-31: 99.39 index_long_term_average_1002024-04-30: 99.47 index_long_term_average_1002024-05-31: 99.54 index_long_term_average_1002024-06-30: 99.59 index_long_term_average_1002024-07-31: 99.60 index_long_term_average_1002024-08-31: 99.59 index_long_term_average_1002024-09-30: 99.55 index_long_term_average_1002024-10-31: 99.52 index_long_term_average_1002024-11-30: 99.49 index_long_term_average_1002024-12-31: 99.49 index_long_term_average_1002025-01-31: 99.53 index_long_term_average_1002025-02-28: 99.61 index_long_term_average_1002025-03-31: 99.70 index_long_term_average_1002025-04-30: 99.82 index_long_term_average_1002025-05-31: 99.9545 index_long_term_average_1002025-06-30: 100.0972 index_long_term_average_1002025-07-31: 100.2359 index_long_term_average_1002025-08-31: 100.3693 index_long_term_average_1002025-09-30: 100.4933 index_long_term_average_1002025-10-31: 100.5973 index_long_term_average_1002025-11-30: 100.6613 index_long_term_average_1002025-12-31: 100.6839 index_long_term_average_1002026-01-31: 100.6646 index_long_term_average_1002026-02-28: 100.608 index_long_term_average_1002026-03-31: 100.5329 index_long_term_average_1002026-04-30: 100.4764 index_long_term_average_1002026-05-31: 100.4786 index_long_term_average_1002026-06-30: 100.545 index_long_term_average_1002026-07-31: 100.6617 index_long_term_average_1002026-08-31: 100.7962 index_long_term_average_1002026-09-30: 100.9228 index_long_term_average_10031 Oct 201116 Apr 201930 Sep 2026

Showing periods 599–778 of 778 in this date range. Each chart page contains at most 180 original periods; values are not downsampled. All retained snapshot-selected periods are available.

Uses snapshot-selected vintages. The final eight exact values in this window are tabulated above. The pinned JSON query provides all matching observations and provenance; follow its cursor for further pages.

Snapshot identity
Snapshot
ero_us_macro_financial_20261027T003609Z_3476e48f61e8
Profile version
11.0.0
Generated
27 Oct 2026 · 00:38 UTC
Analytical content SHA-256
3476e48f61e89a392bf424594d533e4786040223a0d6bad7c1aa54e7ac1c3ce3

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov. Data access dates are supplied as retrieved_at in canonical observations. Latest retained BLS access: 03 Oct 2026 · 00:33 UTC. BLS source terms

Source: BIS debt service, credit and credit-gap statistics; debt service is model-based. ECO I's calculations and interpretation are its own; BIS does not endorse them. BIS statistical-use terms