THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE Experimental; data and analysis may be wrong or delayed, so do not rely on this site to make financial decisions. Full disclaimer U.S. ECONOMY & MARKETS 27 Oct 2026 · 00:36 UTC
INDICATOR DETAIL
OFR credit contribution -0.868 index points
Valid Period ending 22 Oct 2026 Available 26 Oct 2026 · 20:33 UTC
OFR credit contribution
An earlier economic period is in use. Requested period: 26 Oct 2026. Actual period: 22 Oct 2026. The source availability date and configured freshness limit are retained. Published metric history, index points 180 observed values from 2026-02-13 to 2026-10-22. Horizontal position follows economic dates. Lines stop at explicitly missing source periods. Recent exact values follow in the table; all retained readings are available through the pinned JSON query. -1.2 -1.0 -0.8 2026-02-13: -1.136 index points 2026-02-16: -1.147 index points 2026-02-17: -1.139 index points 2026-02-18: -1.169 index points 2026-02-19: -1.16 index points 2026-02-20: -1.17 index points 2026-02-23: -1.139 index points 2026-02-24: -1.128 index points 2026-02-25: -1.121 index points 2026-02-26: -1.111 index points 2026-02-27: -1.054 index points 2026-03-02: -1.049 index points 2026-03-03: -1.028 index points 2026-03-04: -1.084 index points 2026-03-05: -1.09 index points 2026-03-06: -1.031 index points 2026-03-09: -0.988 index points 2026-03-10: -1.044 index points 2026-03-11: -1.033 index points 2026-03-12: -0.99 index points 2026-03-13: -0.944 index points 2026-03-16: -0.931 index points 2026-03-17: -0.94 index points 2026-03-18: -0.958 index points 2026-03-19: -0.914 index points 2026-03-20: -0.937 index points 2026-03-23: -0.919 index points 2026-03-24: -0.929 index points 2026-03-25: -0.941 index points 2026-03-26: -0.923 index points 2026-03-27: -0.868 index points 2026-03-30: -0.826 index points 2026-03-31: -0.866 index points 2026-04-01: -0.927 index points 2026-04-02: -0.918 index points 2026-04-03: -0.93 index points 2026-04-06: -0.953 index points 2026-04-07: -0.949 index points 2026-04-08: -1.032 index points 2026-04-09: -1.039 index points 2026-04-10: -1.06 index points 2026-04-13: -1.057 index points 2026-04-14: -1.091 index points 2026-04-15: -1.106 index points 2026-04-16: -1.105 index points 2026-04-17: -1.111 index points 2026-04-20: -1.11 index points 2026-04-21: -1.13 index points 2026-04-22: -1.137 index points 2026-04-23: -1.126 index points 2026-04-24: -1.113 index points 2026-04-27: -1.115 index points 2026-04-28: -1.113 index points 2026-04-29: -1.136 index points 2026-04-30: -1.118 index points 2026-05-01: -1.14 index points 2026-05-04: -1.157 index points 2026-05-05: -1.161 index points 2026-05-06: -1.168 index points 2026-05-07: -1.167 index points 2026-05-08: -1.152 index points 2026-05-11: -1.173 index points 2026-05-12: -1.187 index points 2026-05-13: -1.192 index points 2026-05-14: -1.195 index points 2026-05-15: -1.208 index points 2026-05-18: -1.202 index points 2026-05-19: -1.187 index points 2026-05-20: -1.167 index points 2026-05-21: -1.177 index points 2026-05-22: -1.193 index points 2026-05-25: -1.175 index points 2026-05-26: -1.197 index points 2026-05-27: -1.206 index points 2026-05-28: -1.207 index points 2026-05-29: -1.203 index points 2026-06-01: -1.196 index points 2026-06-02: -1.215 index points 2026-06-03: -1.204 index points 2026-06-04: -1.206 index points 2026-06-05: -1.214 index points 2026-06-08: -1.207 index points 2026-06-09: -1.194 index points 2026-06-10: -1.201 index points 2026-06-11: -1.174 index points 2026-06-12: -1.204 index points 2026-06-15: -1.223 index points 2026-06-16: -1.209 index points 2026-06-17: -1.228 index points 2026-06-18: -1.207 index points 2026-06-19: -1.21 index points 2026-06-22: -1.215 index points 2026-06-23: -1.202 index points 2026-06-24: -1.165 index points 2026-06-25: -1.165 index points 2026-06-26: -1.141 index points 2026-06-29: -1.151 index points 2026-06-30: -1.166 index points 2026-07-01: -1.173 index points 2026-07-02: -1.169 index points 2026-07-03: -1.178 index points 2026-07-06: -1.186 index points 2026-07-07: -1.208 index points 2026-07-08: -1.188 index points 2026-07-09: -1.195 index points 2026-07-10: -1.199 index points 2026-07-13: -1.19 index points 2026-07-14: -1.175 index points 2026-07-15: -1.169 index points 2026-07-16: -1.184 index points 2026-07-17: -1.182 index points 2026-07-20: -1.197 index points 2026-07-21: -1.184 index points 2026-07-22: -1.187 index points 2026-07-23: -1.186 index points 2026-07-24: -1.144 index points 2026-07-27: -1.125 index points 2026-07-28: -1.125 index points 2026-07-29: -1.121 index points 2026-07-30: -1.115 index points 2026-07-31: -1.129 index points 2026-08-03: -1.143 index points 2026-08-04: -1.151 index points 2026-08-05: -1.146 index points 2026-08-06: -1.173 index points 2026-08-07: -1.165 index points 2026-08-10: -1.177 index points 2026-08-11: -1.17 index points 2026-08-12: -1.171 index points 2026-08-13: -1.161 index points 2026-08-14: -1.178 index points 2026-08-17: -1.171 index points 2026-08-18: -1.156 index points 2026-08-19: -1.172 index points 2026-08-20: -1.155 index points 2026-08-21: -1.175 index points 2026-08-24: -1.168 index points 2026-08-25: -1.161 index points 2026-08-26: -1.158 index points 2026-08-27: -1.178 index points 2026-08-28: -1.182 index points 2026-08-31: -1.158 index points 2026-09-01: -1.148 index points 2026-09-02: -1.164 index points 2026-09-03: -1.172 index points 2026-09-04: -1.161 index points 2026-09-07: -1.154 index points 2026-09-08: -1.16 index points 2026-09-09: -1.164 index points 2026-09-10: -1.164 index points 2026-09-11: -1.161 index points 2026-09-14: -1.136 index points 2026-09-15: -1.135 index points 2026-09-16: -1.151 index points 2026-09-17: -1.139 index points 2026-09-18: -1.156 index points 2026-09-21: -1.15 index points 2026-09-22: -1.149 index points 2026-09-23: -1.148 index points 2026-09-24: -1.126 index points 2026-09-25: -1.1 index points 2026-09-28: -1.064 index points 2026-09-29: -1.058 index points 2026-09-30: -1.032 index points 2026-10-01: -0.969 index points 2026-10-02: -0.97 index points 2026-10-05: -0.96 index points 2026-10-06: -1.014 index points 2026-10-07: -0.983 index points 2026-10-08: -0.982 index points 2026-10-09: -0.987 index points 2026-10-12: -0.991 index points 2026-10-13: -0.982 index points 2026-10-14: -0.971 index points 2026-10-15: -0.962 index points 2026-10-16: -0.946 index points 2026-10-19: -0.947 index points 2026-10-20: -0.926 index points 2026-10-21: -0.92 index points 2026-10-22: -0.868 index points 13 Feb 2026 18 Jun 2026 22 Oct 2026 Showing periods 6,607–6,786 of 6,786 in this date range. Each chart page contains at most 180 original periods; values are not downsampled. All retained snapshot-selected periods are available.
← Older periods Uses the data available in this saved assessment; later revisions may change historical values. This reconstructed chart does not show what was known on each historical date. Missing source periods break the line; unavailable metric values are omitted. Quality is evaluated at the assessment date.
Exact values · final 12 periods in this chart window Method, sources and timing Economic period & freshness Calculation uses the latest completed observation available at evaluation time, with its actual economic period and original availability. An older period contributes to assessment only within the configured source-age limit. Newly observed missing or invalid evidence is not replaced with an earlier value. Source status uses economic-age thresholds, not a release calendar; no future release time is inferred.
THE PUBLISHED TRANSFORM Output the latest original published reading for its native economic period.A contribution to the published OFR global financial stress index, in index points, not a separately standardized stress index. The five category contributions explain one index. They are not independent confirmations; source rounding can leave a small residual. The equity component reflects observed market stress, not a structural bubble valuation measure. Current revised observations are published with a two-business-day lag; first retrieval establishes availability.
Definition 9.0.0 · us_ofr_credit_contribution VALIDATION MATURITY Research informed A contribution to the published OFR global financial stress index, in index points, not a separately standardized stress index.
Published official-source measure; additional descriptive trends are evaluated separately from predictive validation.
Original OFR Financial Stress Index CSV · 8433d8ccaf70… ↗
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Original OFR Financial Stress Index CSV · 1516a65aa856… ↗
Showing 6 of 36 retained source files. All retained source file hashes (JSON) ↗
Original published index and contributions. Credit: Office of Financial Research. The underlying third-party market inputs are not included. File hashes identify the exact retrieved bytes; these are not historical point-in-time vintages.
Chart source observations · 180 periods in this window Canonical source observations, index points 180 observed values from 2026-02-13 to 2026-10-22. Horizontal position follows economic dates. Lines stop at explicitly missing source periods. Recent exact values follow in the table; all retained readings are available through the pinned JSON query. -1.2 -1.0 -0.8 2026-02-13: -1.136 index points 2026-02-16: -1.147 index points 2026-02-17: -1.139 index points 2026-02-18: -1.169 index points 2026-02-19: -1.16 index points 2026-02-20: -1.17 index points 2026-02-23: -1.139 index points 2026-02-24: -1.128 index points 2026-02-25: -1.121 index points 2026-02-26: -1.111 index points 2026-02-27: -1.054 index points 2026-03-02: -1.049 index points 2026-03-03: -1.028 index points 2026-03-04: -1.084 index points 2026-03-05: -1.09 index points 2026-03-06: -1.031 index points 2026-03-09: -0.988 index points 2026-03-10: -1.044 index points 2026-03-11: -1.033 index points 2026-03-12: -0.99 index points 2026-03-13: -0.944 index points 2026-03-16: -0.931 index points 2026-03-17: -0.94 index points 2026-03-18: -0.958 index points 2026-03-19: -0.914 index points 2026-03-20: -0.937 index points 2026-03-23: -0.919 index points 2026-03-24: -0.929 index points 2026-03-25: -0.941 index points 2026-03-26: -0.923 index points 2026-03-27: -0.868 index points 2026-03-30: -0.826 index points 2026-03-31: -0.866 index points 2026-04-01: -0.927 index points 2026-04-02: -0.918 index points 2026-04-03: -0.93 index points 2026-04-06: -0.953 index points 2026-04-07: -0.949 index points 2026-04-08: -1.032 index points 2026-04-09: -1.039 index points 2026-04-10: -1.06 index points 2026-04-13: -1.057 index points 2026-04-14: -1.091 index points 2026-04-15: -1.106 index points 2026-04-16: -1.105 index points 2026-04-17: -1.111 index points 2026-04-20: -1.11 index points 2026-04-21: -1.13 index points 2026-04-22: -1.137 index points 2026-04-23: -1.126 index points 2026-04-24: -1.113 index points 2026-04-27: -1.115 index points 2026-04-28: -1.113 index points 2026-04-29: -1.136 index points 2026-04-30: -1.118 index points 2026-05-01: -1.14 index points 2026-05-04: -1.157 index points 2026-05-05: -1.161 index points 2026-05-06: -1.168 index points 2026-05-07: -1.167 index points 2026-05-08: -1.152 index points 2026-05-11: -1.173 index points 2026-05-12: -1.187 index points 2026-05-13: -1.192 index points 2026-05-14: -1.195 index points 2026-05-15: -1.208 index points 2026-05-18: -1.202 index points 2026-05-19: -1.187 index points 2026-05-20: -1.167 index points 2026-05-21: -1.177 index points 2026-05-22: -1.193 index points 2026-05-25: -1.175 index points 2026-05-26: -1.197 index points 2026-05-27: -1.206 index points 2026-05-28: -1.207 index points 2026-05-29: -1.203 index points 2026-06-01: -1.196 index points 2026-06-02: -1.215 index points 2026-06-03: -1.204 index points 2026-06-04: -1.206 index points 2026-06-05: -1.214 index points 2026-06-08: -1.207 index points 2026-06-09: -1.194 index points 2026-06-10: -1.201 index points 2026-06-11: -1.174 index points 2026-06-12: -1.204 index points 2026-06-15: -1.223 index points 2026-06-16: -1.209 index points 2026-06-17: -1.228 index points 2026-06-18: -1.207 index points 2026-06-19: -1.21 index points 2026-06-22: -1.215 index points 2026-06-23: -1.202 index points 2026-06-24: -1.165 index points 2026-06-25: -1.165 index points 2026-06-26: -1.141 index points 2026-06-29: -1.151 index points 2026-06-30: -1.166 index points 2026-07-01: -1.173 index points 2026-07-02: -1.169 index points 2026-07-03: -1.178 index points 2026-07-06: -1.186 index points 2026-07-07: -1.208 index points 2026-07-08: -1.188 index points 2026-07-09: -1.195 index points 2026-07-10: -1.199 index points 2026-07-13: -1.19 index points 2026-07-14: -1.175 index points 2026-07-15: -1.169 index points 2026-07-16: -1.184 index points 2026-07-17: -1.182 index points 2026-07-20: -1.197 index points 2026-07-21: -1.184 index points 2026-07-22: -1.187 index points 2026-07-23: -1.186 index points 2026-07-24: -1.144 index points 2026-07-27: -1.125 index points 2026-07-28: -1.125 index points 2026-07-29: -1.121 index points 2026-07-30: -1.115 index points 2026-07-31: -1.129 index points 2026-08-03: -1.143 index points 2026-08-04: -1.151 index points 2026-08-05: -1.146 index points 2026-08-06: -1.173 index points 2026-08-07: -1.165 index points 2026-08-10: -1.177 index points 2026-08-11: -1.17 index points 2026-08-12: -1.171 index points 2026-08-13: -1.161 index points 2026-08-14: -1.178 index points 2026-08-17: -1.171 index points 2026-08-18: -1.156 index points 2026-08-19: -1.172 index points 2026-08-20: -1.155 index points 2026-08-21: -1.175 index points 2026-08-24: -1.168 index points 2026-08-25: -1.161 index points 2026-08-26: -1.158 index points 2026-08-27: -1.178 index points 2026-08-28: -1.182 index points 2026-08-31: -1.158 index points 2026-09-01: -1.148 index points 2026-09-02: -1.164 index points 2026-09-03: -1.172 index points 2026-09-04: -1.161 index points 2026-09-07: -1.154 index points 2026-09-08: -1.16 index points 2026-09-09: -1.164 index points 2026-09-10: -1.164 index points 2026-09-11: -1.161 index points 2026-09-14: -1.136 index points 2026-09-15: -1.135 index points 2026-09-16: -1.151 index points 2026-09-17: -1.139 index points 2026-09-18: -1.156 index points 2026-09-21: -1.15 index points 2026-09-22: -1.149 index points 2026-09-23: -1.148 index points 2026-09-24: -1.126 index points 2026-09-25: -1.1 index points 2026-09-28: -1.064 index points 2026-09-29: -1.058 index points 2026-09-30: -1.032 index points 2026-10-01: -0.969 index points 2026-10-02: -0.97 index points 2026-10-05: -0.96 index points 2026-10-06: -1.014 index points 2026-10-07: -0.983 index points 2026-10-08: -0.982 index points 2026-10-09: -0.987 index points 2026-10-12: -0.991 index points 2026-10-13: -0.982 index points 2026-10-14: -0.971 index points 2026-10-15: -0.962 index points 2026-10-16: -0.946 index points 2026-10-19: -0.947 index points 2026-10-20: -0.926 index points 2026-10-21: -0.92 index points 2026-10-22: -0.868 index points 13 Feb 2026 18 Jun 2026 22 Oct 2026 Showing periods 6,607–6,786 of 6,786 in this date range. Each chart page contains at most 180 original periods; values are not downsampled. All retained snapshot-selected periods are available.
← Older periods Uses snapshot-selected vintages. The final eight exact values in this window are tabulated above. The pinned JSON query provides all matching observations and provenance; follow its cursor for further pages.
Snapshot identity Snapshot ero_us_macro_financial_20261027T003609Z_3476e48f61e8 Profile version 11.0.0 Generated 27 Oct 2026 · 00:38 UTC Analytical content SHA-256 3476e48f61e89a392bf424594d533e4786040223a0d6bad7c1aa54e7ac1c3ce3 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov. Data access dates are supplied as retrieved_at in canonical observations. Latest retained BLS access: 03 Oct 2026 · 00:33 UTC. BLS source terms
Source: BIS debt service, credit and credit-gap statistics; debt service is model-based. ECO I's calculations and interpretation are its own; BIS does not endorse them. BIS statistical-use terms