U.S. ECONOMY & MARKETS27 Oct 2026 · 00:36 UTC

INDICATOR DETAIL

OFR equity valuation contribution

-0.481index points
ValidPeriod ending 22 Oct 2026Available 26 Oct 2026 · 20:33 UTC

OFR equity valuation contribution

History

6786 readings.

All retained dates

Dates refer to the economic period ending and apply to all charts below. Leave a date blank for an open range.

Published metric history, index points180 observed values from 2026-02-13 to 2026-10-22. Horizontal position follows economic dates. Lines stop at explicitly missing source periods. Recent exact values follow in the table; all retained readings are available through the pinned JSON query.-0.6-0.5-0.42026-02-13: -0.512 index points2026-02-16: -0.512 index points2026-02-17: -0.509 index points2026-02-18: -0.523 index points2026-02-19: -0.521 index points2026-02-20: -0.531 index points2026-02-23: -0.528 index points2026-02-24: -0.534 index points2026-02-25: -0.553 index points2026-02-26: -0.556 index points2026-02-27: -0.555 index points2026-03-02: -0.531 index points2026-03-03: -0.474 index points2026-03-04: -0.456 index points2026-03-05: -0.461 index points2026-03-06: -0.447 index points2026-03-09: -0.42 index points2026-03-10: -0.454 index points2026-03-11: -0.453 index points2026-03-12: -0.424 index points2026-03-13: -0.404 index points2026-03-16: -0.411 index points2026-03-17: -0.424 index points2026-03-18: -0.426 index points2026-03-19: -0.393 index points2026-03-20: -0.376 index points2026-03-23: -0.361 index points2026-03-24: -0.373 index points2026-03-25: -0.401 index points2026-03-26: -0.372 index points2026-03-27: -0.352 index points2026-03-30: -0.339 index points2026-03-31: -0.343 index points2026-04-01: -0.412 index points2026-04-02: -0.394 index points2026-04-03: -0.399 index points2026-04-06: -0.388 index points2026-04-07: -0.389 index points2026-04-08: -0.471 index points2026-04-09: -0.464 index points2026-04-10: -0.474 index points2026-04-13: -0.474 index points2026-04-14: -0.506 index points2026-04-15: -0.517 index points2026-04-16: -0.529 index points2026-04-17: -0.526 index points2026-04-20: -0.52 index points2026-04-21: -0.514 index points2026-04-22: -0.514 index points2026-04-23: -0.505 index points2026-04-24: -0.512 index points2026-04-27: -0.522 index points2026-04-28: -0.513 index points2026-04-29: -0.509 index points2026-04-30: -0.522 index points2026-05-01: -0.526 index points2026-05-04: -0.53 index points2026-05-05: -0.537 index points2026-05-06: -0.58 index points2026-05-07: -0.594 index points2026-05-08: -0.591 index points2026-05-11: -0.575 index points2026-05-12: -0.563 index points2026-05-13: -0.576 index points2026-05-14: -0.583 index points2026-05-15: -0.54 index points2026-05-18: -0.536 index points2026-05-19: -0.524 index points2026-05-20: -0.519 index points2026-05-21: -0.558 index points2026-05-22: -0.573 index points2026-05-25: -0.593 index points2026-05-26: -0.596 index points2026-05-27: -0.601 index points2026-05-28: -0.598 index points2026-05-29: -0.617 index points2026-06-01: -0.615 index points2026-06-02: -0.623 index points2026-06-03: -0.621 index points2026-06-04: -0.612 index points2026-06-05: -0.572 index points2026-06-08: -0.534 index points2026-06-09: -0.554 index points2026-06-10: -0.52 index points2026-06-11: -0.532 index points2026-06-12: -0.569 index points2026-06-15: -0.616 index points2026-06-16: -0.615 index points2026-06-17: -0.612 index points2026-06-18: -0.623 index points2026-06-19: -0.612 index points2026-06-22: -0.621 index points2026-06-23: -0.569 index points2026-06-24: -0.563 index points2026-06-25: -0.583 index points2026-06-26: -0.557 index points2026-06-29: -0.593 index points2026-06-30: -0.609 index points2026-07-01: -0.605 index points2026-07-02: -0.602 index points2026-07-03: -0.623 index points2026-07-06: -0.606 index points2026-07-07: -0.585 index points2026-07-08: -0.564 index points2026-07-09: -0.577 index points2026-07-10: -0.588 index points2026-07-13: -0.561 index points2026-07-14: -0.571 index points2026-07-15: -0.591 index points2026-07-16: -0.571 index points2026-07-17: -0.529 index points2026-07-20: -0.524 index points2026-07-21: -0.555 index points2026-07-22: -0.558 index points2026-07-23: -0.548 index points2026-07-24: -0.533 index points2026-07-27: -0.542 index points2026-07-28: -0.514 index points2026-07-29: -0.494 index points2026-07-30: -0.525 index points2026-07-31: -0.57 index points2026-08-03: -0.587 index points2026-08-04: -0.605 index points2026-08-05: -0.621 index points2026-08-06: -0.608 index points2026-08-07: -0.617 index points2026-08-10: -0.591 index points2026-08-11: -0.585 index points2026-08-12: -0.597 index points2026-08-13: -0.61 index points2026-08-14: -0.614 index points2026-08-17: -0.606 index points2026-08-18: -0.587 index points2026-08-19: -0.572 index points2026-08-20: -0.58 index points2026-08-21: -0.59 index points2026-08-24: -0.579 index points2026-08-25: -0.588 index points2026-08-26: -0.592 index points2026-08-27: -0.598 index points2026-08-28: -0.598 index points2026-08-31: -0.584 index points2026-09-01: -0.58 index points2026-09-02: -0.568 index points2026-09-03: -0.591 index points2026-09-04: -0.594 index points2026-09-07: -0.599 index points2026-09-08: -0.585 index points2026-09-09: -0.579 index points2026-09-10: -0.566 index points2026-09-11: -0.565 index points2026-09-14: -0.543 index points2026-09-15: -0.53 index points2026-09-16: -0.532 index points2026-09-17: -0.545 index points2026-09-18: -0.55 index points2026-09-21: -0.573 index points2026-09-22: -0.577 index points2026-09-23: -0.567 index points2026-09-24: -0.555 index points2026-09-25: -0.571 index points2026-09-28: -0.558 index points2026-09-29: -0.547 index points2026-09-30: -0.552 index points2026-10-01: -0.548 index points2026-10-02: -0.553 index points2026-10-05: -0.554 index points2026-10-06: -0.567 index points2026-10-07: -0.55 index points2026-10-08: -0.529 index points2026-10-09: -0.54 index points2026-10-12: -0.54 index points2026-10-13: -0.529 index points2026-10-14: -0.516 index points2026-10-15: -0.498 index points2026-10-16: -0.507 index points2026-10-19: -0.503 index points2026-10-20: -0.496 index points2026-10-21: -0.512 index points2026-10-22: -0.481 index points13 Feb 202618 Jun 202622 Oct 2026

Showing periods 6,607–6,786 of 6,786 in this date range. Each chart page contains at most 180 original periods; values are not downsampled. All retained snapshot-selected periods are available.

Uses the data available in this saved assessment; later revisions may change historical values. This reconstructed chart does not show what was known on each historical date. Missing source periods break the line; unavailable metric values are omitted. Quality is evaluated at the assessment date.

Exact values · final 12 periods in this chart window
Exact plotted metric readings
Economic periodValueUnitQuality
07 Oct 2026-0.55index pointsValid
08 Oct 2026-0.529index pointsValid
09 Oct 2026-0.54index pointsValid
12 Oct 2026-0.54index pointsValid
13 Oct 2026-0.529index pointsValid
14 Oct 2026-0.516index pointsValid
15 Oct 2026-0.498index pointsValid
16 Oct 2026-0.507index pointsValid
19 Oct 2026-0.503index pointsValid
20 Oct 2026-0.496index pointsValid
21 Oct 2026-0.512index pointsValid
22 Oct 2026-0.481index pointsValid
Method, sources and timing

Economic period & freshness

Calculation uses the latest completed observation available at evaluation time, with its actual economic period and original availability. An older period contributes to assessment only within the configured source-age limit. Newly observed missing or invalid evidence is not replaced with an earlier value. Source status uses economic-age thresholds, not a release calendar; no future release time is inferred.

Source timing diagnostics
InputLatest source periodObservation ageAvailable to ECO ISource status
OFR equity contribution22 Oct 20265 days26 Oct 2026 · 20:33 UTCCurrent
THE PUBLISHED TRANSFORMOutput the latest original published reading for its native economic period.

A contribution to the published OFR global financial stress index, in index points, not a separately standardized stress index. The five category contributions explain one index. They are not independent confirmations; source rounding can leave a small residual. The equity component reflects observed market stress, not a structural bubble valuation measure. Current revised observations are published with a two-business-day lag; first retrieval establishes availability.

Definition 9.0.0 · us_ofr_equity_contribution
VALIDATION MATURITY

Research informed

A contribution to the published OFR global financial stress index, in index points, not a separately standardized stress index.

Published official-source measure; additional descriptive trends are evaluated separately from predictive validation.

Canonical source observations
Period endingSource valueUnitQualityAvailable to ECO I
13 Oct 2026-0.529index pointsValid15 Oct 2026 · 21:49 UTC
14 Oct 2026-0.516index pointsValid16 Oct 2026 · 18:40 UTC
15 Oct 2026-0.498index pointsValid19 Oct 2026 · 14:55 UTC
16 Oct 2026-0.507index pointsValid20 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
19 Oct 2026-0.503index pointsValid21 Oct 2026 · 15:29 UTC
20 Oct 2026-0.496index pointsValid22 Oct 2026 · 18:24 UTC
21 Oct 2026-0.512index pointsValid23 Oct 2026 · 17:37 UTC
22 Oct 2026-0.481index pointsValid26 Oct 2026 · 20:33 UTC

Original OFR Financial Stress Index CSV · 8433d8ccaf70… ↗

Original OFR Financial Stress Index CSV · 46e6dcb7c75a… ↗

Original OFR Financial Stress Index CSV · c59b58d64c9d… ↗

Original OFR Financial Stress Index CSV · e7fd6f1097f3… ↗

Original OFR Financial Stress Index CSV · 5917047f4d03… ↗

Original OFR Financial Stress Index CSV · 1516a65aa856… ↗

Showing 6 of 36 retained source files. All retained source file hashes (JSON) ↗

Original published index and contributions. Credit: Office of Financial Research. The underlying third-party market inputs are not included. File hashes identify the exact retrieved bytes; these are not historical point-in-time vintages.

Chart source observations · 180 periods in this windowCanonical source observations, index points180 observed values from 2026-02-13 to 2026-10-22. Horizontal position follows economic dates. Lines stop at explicitly missing source periods. Recent exact values follow in the table; all retained readings are available through the pinned JSON query.-0.6-0.5-0.42026-02-13: -0.512 index points2026-02-16: -0.512 index points2026-02-17: -0.509 index points2026-02-18: -0.523 index points2026-02-19: -0.521 index points2026-02-20: -0.531 index points2026-02-23: -0.528 index points2026-02-24: -0.534 index points2026-02-25: -0.553 index points2026-02-26: -0.556 index points2026-02-27: -0.555 index points2026-03-02: -0.531 index points2026-03-03: -0.474 index points2026-03-04: -0.456 index points2026-03-05: -0.461 index points2026-03-06: -0.447 index points2026-03-09: -0.42 index points2026-03-10: -0.454 index points2026-03-11: -0.453 index points2026-03-12: -0.424 index points2026-03-13: -0.404 index points2026-03-16: -0.411 index points2026-03-17: -0.424 index points2026-03-18: -0.426 index points2026-03-19: -0.393 index points2026-03-20: -0.376 index points2026-03-23: -0.361 index points2026-03-24: -0.373 index points2026-03-25: -0.401 index points2026-03-26: -0.372 index points2026-03-27: -0.352 index points2026-03-30: -0.339 index points2026-03-31: -0.343 index points2026-04-01: -0.412 index points2026-04-02: -0.394 index points2026-04-03: -0.399 index points2026-04-06: -0.388 index points2026-04-07: -0.389 index points2026-04-08: -0.471 index points2026-04-09: -0.464 index points2026-04-10: -0.474 index points2026-04-13: -0.474 index points2026-04-14: -0.506 index points2026-04-15: -0.517 index points2026-04-16: -0.529 index points2026-04-17: -0.526 index points2026-04-20: -0.52 index points2026-04-21: -0.514 index points2026-04-22: -0.514 index points2026-04-23: -0.505 index points2026-04-24: -0.512 index points2026-04-27: -0.522 index points2026-04-28: -0.513 index points2026-04-29: -0.509 index points2026-04-30: -0.522 index points2026-05-01: -0.526 index points2026-05-04: -0.53 index points2026-05-05: -0.537 index points2026-05-06: -0.58 index points2026-05-07: -0.594 index points2026-05-08: -0.591 index points2026-05-11: -0.575 index points2026-05-12: -0.563 index points2026-05-13: -0.576 index points2026-05-14: -0.583 index points2026-05-15: -0.54 index points2026-05-18: -0.536 index points2026-05-19: -0.524 index points2026-05-20: -0.519 index points2026-05-21: -0.558 index points2026-05-22: -0.573 index points2026-05-25: -0.593 index points2026-05-26: -0.596 index points2026-05-27: -0.601 index points2026-05-28: -0.598 index points2026-05-29: -0.617 index points2026-06-01: -0.615 index points2026-06-02: -0.623 index points2026-06-03: -0.621 index points2026-06-04: -0.612 index points2026-06-05: -0.572 index points2026-06-08: -0.534 index points2026-06-09: -0.554 index points2026-06-10: -0.52 index points2026-06-11: -0.532 index points2026-06-12: -0.569 index points2026-06-15: -0.616 index points2026-06-16: -0.615 index points2026-06-17: -0.612 index points2026-06-18: -0.623 index points2026-06-19: -0.612 index points2026-06-22: -0.621 index points2026-06-23: -0.569 index points2026-06-24: -0.563 index points2026-06-25: -0.583 index points2026-06-26: -0.557 index points2026-06-29: -0.593 index points2026-06-30: -0.609 index points2026-07-01: -0.605 index points2026-07-02: -0.602 index points2026-07-03: -0.623 index points2026-07-06: -0.606 index points2026-07-07: -0.585 index points2026-07-08: -0.564 index points2026-07-09: -0.577 index points2026-07-10: -0.588 index points2026-07-13: -0.561 index points2026-07-14: -0.571 index points2026-07-15: -0.591 index points2026-07-16: -0.571 index points2026-07-17: -0.529 index points2026-07-20: -0.524 index points2026-07-21: -0.555 index points2026-07-22: -0.558 index points2026-07-23: -0.548 index points2026-07-24: -0.533 index points2026-07-27: -0.542 index points2026-07-28: -0.514 index points2026-07-29: -0.494 index points2026-07-30: -0.525 index points2026-07-31: -0.57 index points2026-08-03: -0.587 index points2026-08-04: -0.605 index points2026-08-05: -0.621 index points2026-08-06: -0.608 index points2026-08-07: -0.617 index points2026-08-10: -0.591 index points2026-08-11: -0.585 index points2026-08-12: -0.597 index points2026-08-13: -0.61 index points2026-08-14: -0.614 index points2026-08-17: -0.606 index points2026-08-18: -0.587 index points2026-08-19: -0.572 index points2026-08-20: -0.58 index points2026-08-21: -0.59 index points2026-08-24: -0.579 index points2026-08-25: -0.588 index points2026-08-26: -0.592 index points2026-08-27: -0.598 index points2026-08-28: -0.598 index points2026-08-31: -0.584 index points2026-09-01: -0.58 index points2026-09-02: -0.568 index points2026-09-03: -0.591 index points2026-09-04: -0.594 index points2026-09-07: -0.599 index points2026-09-08: -0.585 index points2026-09-09: -0.579 index points2026-09-10: -0.566 index points2026-09-11: -0.565 index points2026-09-14: -0.543 index points2026-09-15: -0.53 index points2026-09-16: -0.532 index points2026-09-17: -0.545 index points2026-09-18: -0.55 index points2026-09-21: -0.573 index points2026-09-22: -0.577 index points2026-09-23: -0.567 index points2026-09-24: -0.555 index points2026-09-25: -0.571 index points2026-09-28: -0.558 index points2026-09-29: -0.547 index points2026-09-30: -0.552 index points2026-10-01: -0.548 index points2026-10-02: -0.553 index points2026-10-05: -0.554 index points2026-10-06: -0.567 index points2026-10-07: -0.55 index points2026-10-08: -0.529 index points2026-10-09: -0.54 index points2026-10-12: -0.54 index points2026-10-13: -0.529 index points2026-10-14: -0.516 index points2026-10-15: -0.498 index points2026-10-16: -0.507 index points2026-10-19: -0.503 index points2026-10-20: -0.496 index points2026-10-21: -0.512 index points2026-10-22: -0.481 index points13 Feb 202618 Jun 202622 Oct 2026

Showing periods 6,607–6,786 of 6,786 in this date range. Each chart page contains at most 180 original periods; values are not downsampled. All retained snapshot-selected periods are available.

Uses snapshot-selected vintages. The final eight exact values in this window are tabulated above. The pinned JSON query provides all matching observations and provenance; follow its cursor for further pages.

Snapshot identity
Snapshot
ero_us_macro_financial_20261027T003609Z_3476e48f61e8
Profile version
11.0.0
Generated
27 Oct 2026 · 00:38 UTC
Analytical content SHA-256
3476e48f61e89a392bf424594d533e4786040223a0d6bad7c1aa54e7ac1c3ce3

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov. Data access dates are supplied as retrieved_at in canonical observations. Latest retained BLS access: 03 Oct 2026 · 00:33 UTC. BLS source terms

Source: BIS debt service, credit and credit-gap statistics; debt service is model-based. ECO I's calculations and interpretation are its own; BIS does not endorse them. BIS statistical-use terms