U.S. ECONOMY & MARKETS27 Oct 2026 · 00:36 UTC
IndicatorsOFR Financial Stress Index

INDICATOR DETAIL

OFR global financial stress

-1.479index points
ValidPeriod ending 22 Oct 2026Available 26 Oct 2026 · 20:33 UTC

OFR global financial market stress relative to its historical average

History

6786 readings.

All retained dates

Dates refer to the economic period ending and apply to all charts below. Leave a date blank for an open range.

Published metric history, index points180 observed values from 2026-02-13 to 2026-10-22. Horizontal position follows economic dates. Lines stop at explicitly missing source periods. Recent exact values follow in the table; all retained readings are available through the pinned JSON query.-3-2-102026-02-13: -2.115 index points2026-02-16: -2.21 index points2026-02-17: -2.294 index points2026-02-18: -2.505 index points2026-02-19: -2.359 index points2026-02-20: -2.527 index points2026-02-23: -2.396 index points2026-02-24: -2.344 index points2026-02-25: -2.601 index points2026-02-26: -2.414 index points2026-02-27: -2.386 index points2026-03-02: -1.893 index points2026-03-03: -1.61 index points2026-03-04: -1.19 index points2026-03-05: -1.574 index points2026-03-06: -0.802 index points2026-03-09: -0.296 index points2026-03-10: -1.458 index points2026-03-11: -0.925 index points2026-03-12: -0.613 index points2026-03-13: -0.432 index points2026-03-16: -0.796 index points2026-03-17: -1.314 index points2026-03-18: -1.208 index points2026-03-19: -0.958 index points2026-03-20: -0.675 index points2026-03-23: -0.472 index points2026-03-24: -0.568 index points2026-03-25: -0.717 index points2026-03-26: -0.216 index points2026-03-27: -0.263 index points2026-03-30: 0.204 index points2026-03-31: -0.284 index points2026-04-01: -1.282 index points2026-04-02: -0.671 index points2026-04-03: -1.284 index points2026-04-06: -0.925 index points2026-04-07: -0.687 index points2026-04-08: -1.496 index points2026-04-09: -1.648 index points2026-04-10: -1.796 index points2026-04-13: -1.788 index points2026-04-14: -2.051 index points2026-04-15: -2.172 index points2026-04-16: -2.172 index points2026-04-17: -2.343 index points2026-04-20: -2.05 index points2026-04-21: -2.09 index points2026-04-22: -2.127 index points2026-04-23: -2.146 index points2026-04-24: -2.058 index points2026-04-27: -2.077 index points2026-04-28: -1.974 index points2026-04-29: -1.972 index points2026-04-30: -2.108 index points2026-05-01: -1.818 index points2026-05-04: -1.735 index points2026-05-05: -1.825 index points2026-05-06: -2.031 index points2026-05-07: -2.179 index points2026-05-08: -2.271 index points2026-05-11: -2.346 index points2026-05-12: -2.294 index points2026-05-13: -2.355 index points2026-05-14: -2.479 index points2026-05-15: -2.27 index points2026-05-18: -2.179 index points2026-05-19: -2.168 index points2026-05-20: -2.258 index points2026-05-21: -2.457 index points2026-05-22: -2.484 index points2026-05-25: -2.481 index points2026-05-26: -2.546 index points2026-05-27: -2.575 index points2026-05-28: -2.734 index points2026-05-29: -2.976 index points2026-06-01: -2.723 index points2026-06-02: -2.63 index points2026-06-03: -2.704 index points2026-06-04: -2.682 index points2026-06-05: -2.472 index points2026-06-08: -2.361 index points2026-06-09: -2.311 index points2026-06-10: -1.918 index points2026-06-11: -1.998 index points2026-06-12: -2.29 index points2026-06-15: -2.597 index points2026-06-16: -2.748 index points2026-06-17: -2.757 index points2026-06-18: -2.741 index points2026-06-19: -2.658 index points2026-06-22: -2.724 index points2026-06-23: -2.424 index points2026-06-24: -2.152 index points2026-06-25: -2.475 index points2026-06-26: -2.385 index points2026-06-29: -2.165 index points2026-06-30: -2.39 index points2026-07-01: -2.551 index points2026-07-02: -2.851 index points2026-07-03: -2.682 index points2026-07-06: -2.633 index points2026-07-07: -2.839 index points2026-07-08: -2.082 index points2026-07-09: -2.278 index points2026-07-10: -2.512 index points2026-07-13: -2.392 index points2026-07-14: -2.455 index points2026-07-15: -2.615 index points2026-07-16: -2.526 index points2026-07-17: -2.305 index points2026-07-20: -2.313 index points2026-07-21: -2.558 index points2026-07-22: -2.607 index points2026-07-23: -2.331 index points2026-07-24: -2.417 index points2026-07-27: -2.4 index points2026-07-28: -2.157 index points2026-07-29: -1.921 index points2026-07-30: -2.116 index points2026-07-31: -2.568 index points2026-08-03: -2.394 index points2026-08-04: -2.482 index points2026-08-05: -2.592 index points2026-08-06: -2.761 index points2026-08-07: -2.764 index points2026-08-10: -2.863 index points2026-08-11: -2.907 index points2026-08-12: -2.74 index points2026-08-13: -2.782 index points2026-08-14: -2.817 index points2026-08-17: -2.824 index points2026-08-18: -2.661 index points2026-08-19: -2.624 index points2026-08-20: -2.675 index points2026-08-21: -2.814 index points2026-08-24: -2.757 index points2026-08-25: -2.734 index points2026-08-26: -2.741 index points2026-08-27: -2.847 index points2026-08-28: -3.03 index points2026-08-31: -2.767 index points2026-09-01: -2.749 index points2026-09-02: -2.768 index points2026-09-03: -2.725 index points2026-09-04: -2.791 index points2026-09-07: -2.874 index points2026-09-08: -2.537 index points2026-09-09: -2.411 index points2026-09-10: -2.289 index points2026-09-11: -2.458 index points2026-09-14: -2.226 index points2026-09-15: -2.244 index points2026-09-16: -2.411 index points2026-09-17: -2.593 index points2026-09-18: -2.734 index points2026-09-21: -2.727 index points2026-09-22: -2.773 index points2026-09-23: -2.663 index points2026-09-24: -2.398 index points2026-09-25: -2.63 index points2026-09-28: -2.222 index points2026-09-29: -2.244 index points2026-09-30: -2.349 index points2026-10-01: -2.036 index points2026-10-02: -2.088 index points2026-10-05: -2.109 index points2026-10-06: -2.152 index points2026-10-07: -1.929 index points2026-10-08: -1.999 index points2026-10-09: -2.122 index points2026-10-12: -2.154 index points2026-10-13: -2.139 index points2026-10-14: -2.195 index points2026-10-15: -1.868 index points2026-10-16: -1.867 index points2026-10-19: -1.893 index points2026-10-20: -1.881 index points2026-10-21: -1.975 index points2026-10-22: -1.479 index points13 Feb 202618 Jun 202622 Oct 2026

Showing periods 6,607–6,786 of 6,786 in this date range. Each chart page contains at most 180 original periods; values are not downsampled. All retained snapshot-selected periods are available.

Uses the data available in this saved assessment; later revisions may change historical values. This reconstructed chart does not show what was known on each historical date. Missing source periods break the line; unavailable metric values are omitted. Quality is evaluated at the assessment date.

Exact values · final 12 periods in this chart window
Exact plotted metric readings
Economic periodValueUnitQuality
07 Oct 2026-1.929index pointsValid
08 Oct 2026-1.999index pointsValid
09 Oct 2026-2.122index pointsValid
12 Oct 2026-2.154index pointsValid
13 Oct 2026-2.139index pointsValid
14 Oct 2026-2.195index pointsValid
15 Oct 2026-1.868index pointsValid
16 Oct 2026-1.867index pointsValid
19 Oct 2026-1.893index pointsValid
20 Oct 2026-1.881index pointsValid
21 Oct 2026-1.975index pointsValid
22 Oct 2026-1.479index pointsValid
Method, sources and timing

Economic period & freshness

Calculation uses the latest completed observation available at evaluation time, with its actual economic period and original availability. An older period contributes to assessment only within the configured source-age limit. Newly observed missing or invalid evidence is not replaced with an earlier value. Source status uses economic-age thresholds, not a release calendar; no future release time is inferred.

Source timing diagnostics
InputLatest source periodObservation ageAvailable to ECO ISource status
OFR Financial Stress Index22 Oct 20265 days26 Oct 2026 · 20:33 UTCCurrent
THE PUBLISHED TRANSFORMOutput the original published OFR Financial Stress Index observation.

Positive values mean stress above the historical average; negative values mean below it. Zero is a descriptive reference, not an alarm threshold. Global stress is not a U.S. bubble valuation measure or a probability of a crash. Calm conditions do not exclude vulnerability. Published index revisions are retained prospectively. Components overlap the headline and cannot supply independent confirmations.

Definition 6.0.0 · us_ofr_financial_stress
VALIDATION MATURITY

Research informed

The published index describes global financial market stress relative to its historical average. It does not forecast bubble bursts.

Original OFR methodology; descriptive context without ECO I severity thresholds.

SOURCE OBSERVATIONS

OFR Financial Stress Index

Office of Financial Research · Financial Stress Index

Canonical observations JSON ↗
Canonical source observations
Period endingSource valueUnitQualityAvailable to ECO I
13 Oct 2026-2.139index pointsValid15 Oct 2026 · 21:49 UTC
14 Oct 2026-2.195index pointsValid16 Oct 2026 · 18:40 UTC
15 Oct 2026-1.868index pointsValid19 Oct 2026 · 14:55 UTC
16 Oct 2026-1.867index pointsValid20 Oct 2026 · 18:45 UTC
19 Oct 2026-1.893index pointsValid21 Oct 2026 · 15:29 UTC
20 Oct 2026-1.881index pointsValid22 Oct 2026 · 18:24 UTC
21 Oct 2026-1.975index pointsValid23 Oct 2026 · 17:37 UTC
22 Oct 2026-1.479index pointsValid26 Oct 2026 · 20:33 UTC

Original OFR Financial Stress Index CSV · 8433d8ccaf70… ↗

Original OFR Financial Stress Index CSV · 46e6dcb7c75a… ↗

Original OFR Financial Stress Index CSV · c59b58d64c9d… ↗

Original OFR Financial Stress Index CSV · e7fd6f1097f3… ↗

Original OFR Financial Stress Index CSV · 5917047f4d03… ↗

Original OFR Financial Stress Index CSV · 1516a65aa856… ↗

Showing 6 of 37 retained source files. All retained source file hashes (JSON) ↗

Original published index and contributions. Credit: Office of Financial Research. The underlying third-party market inputs are not included. File hashes identify the exact retrieved bytes; these are not historical point-in-time vintages.

Chart source observations · 180 periods in this windowCanonical source observations, index points180 observed values from 2026-02-13 to 2026-10-22. Horizontal position follows economic dates. Lines stop at explicitly missing source periods. Recent exact values follow in the table; all retained readings are available through the pinned JSON query.-3-2-102026-02-13: -2.115 index points2026-02-16: -2.21 index points2026-02-17: -2.294 index points2026-02-18: -2.505 index points2026-02-19: -2.359 index points2026-02-20: -2.527 index points2026-02-23: -2.396 index points2026-02-24: -2.344 index points2026-02-25: -2.601 index points2026-02-26: -2.414 index points2026-02-27: -2.386 index points2026-03-02: -1.893 index points2026-03-03: -1.61 index points2026-03-04: -1.19 index points2026-03-05: -1.574 index points2026-03-06: -0.802 index points2026-03-09: -0.296 index points2026-03-10: -1.458 index points2026-03-11: -0.925 index points2026-03-12: -0.613 index points2026-03-13: -0.432 index points2026-03-16: -0.796 index points2026-03-17: -1.314 index points2026-03-18: -1.208 index points2026-03-19: -0.958 index points2026-03-20: -0.675 index points2026-03-23: -0.472 index points2026-03-24: -0.568 index points2026-03-25: -0.717 index points2026-03-26: -0.216 index points2026-03-27: -0.263 index points2026-03-30: 0.204 index points2026-03-31: -0.284 index points2026-04-01: -1.282 index points2026-04-02: -0.671 index points2026-04-03: -1.284 index points2026-04-06: -0.925 index points2026-04-07: -0.687 index points2026-04-08: -1.496 index points2026-04-09: -1.648 index points2026-04-10: -1.796 index points2026-04-13: -1.788 index points2026-04-14: -2.051 index points2026-04-15: -2.172 index points2026-04-16: -2.172 index points2026-04-17: -2.343 index points2026-04-20: -2.05 index points2026-04-21: -2.09 index points2026-04-22: -2.127 index points2026-04-23: -2.146 index points2026-04-24: -2.058 index points2026-04-27: -2.077 index points2026-04-28: -1.974 index points2026-04-29: -1.972 index points2026-04-30: -2.108 index points2026-05-01: -1.818 index points2026-05-04: -1.735 index points2026-05-05: -1.825 index points2026-05-06: -2.031 index points2026-05-07: -2.179 index points2026-05-08: -2.271 index points2026-05-11: -2.346 index points2026-05-12: -2.294 index points2026-05-13: -2.355 index points2026-05-14: -2.479 index points2026-05-15: -2.27 index points2026-05-18: -2.179 index points2026-05-19: -2.168 index points2026-05-20: -2.258 index points2026-05-21: -2.457 index points2026-05-22: -2.484 index points2026-05-25: -2.481 index points2026-05-26: -2.546 index points2026-05-27: -2.575 index points2026-05-28: -2.734 index points2026-05-29: -2.976 index points2026-06-01: -2.723 index points2026-06-02: -2.63 index points2026-06-03: -2.704 index points2026-06-04: -2.682 index points2026-06-05: -2.472 index points2026-06-08: -2.361 index points2026-06-09: -2.311 index points2026-06-10: -1.918 index points2026-06-11: -1.998 index points2026-06-12: -2.29 index points2026-06-15: -2.597 index points2026-06-16: -2.748 index points2026-06-17: -2.757 index points2026-06-18: -2.741 index points2026-06-19: -2.658 index points2026-06-22: -2.724 index points2026-06-23: -2.424 index points2026-06-24: -2.152 index points2026-06-25: -2.475 index points2026-06-26: -2.385 index points2026-06-29: -2.165 index points2026-06-30: -2.39 index points2026-07-01: -2.551 index points2026-07-02: -2.851 index points2026-07-03: -2.682 index points2026-07-06: -2.633 index points2026-07-07: -2.839 index points2026-07-08: -2.082 index points2026-07-09: -2.278 index points2026-07-10: -2.512 index points2026-07-13: -2.392 index points2026-07-14: -2.455 index points2026-07-15: -2.615 index points2026-07-16: -2.526 index points2026-07-17: -2.305 index points2026-07-20: -2.313 index points2026-07-21: -2.558 index points2026-07-22: -2.607 index points2026-07-23: -2.331 index points2026-07-24: -2.417 index points2026-07-27: -2.4 index points2026-07-28: -2.157 index points2026-07-29: -1.921 index points2026-07-30: -2.116 index points2026-07-31: -2.568 index points2026-08-03: -2.394 index points2026-08-04: -2.482 index points2026-08-05: -2.592 index points2026-08-06: -2.761 index points2026-08-07: -2.764 index points2026-08-10: -2.863 index points2026-08-11: -2.907 index points2026-08-12: -2.74 index points2026-08-13: -2.782 index points2026-08-14: -2.817 index points2026-08-17: -2.824 index points2026-08-18: -2.661 index points2026-08-19: -2.624 index points2026-08-20: -2.675 index points2026-08-21: -2.814 index points2026-08-24: -2.757 index points2026-08-25: -2.734 index points2026-08-26: -2.741 index points2026-08-27: -2.847 index points2026-08-28: -3.03 index points2026-08-31: -2.767 index points2026-09-01: -2.749 index points2026-09-02: -2.768 index points2026-09-03: -2.725 index points2026-09-04: -2.791 index points2026-09-07: -2.874 index points2026-09-08: -2.537 index points2026-09-09: -2.411 index points2026-09-10: -2.289 index points2026-09-11: -2.458 index points2026-09-14: -2.226 index points2026-09-15: -2.244 index points2026-09-16: -2.411 index points2026-09-17: -2.593 index points2026-09-18: -2.734 index points2026-09-21: -2.727 index points2026-09-22: -2.773 index points2026-09-23: -2.663 index points2026-09-24: -2.398 index points2026-09-25: -2.63 index points2026-09-28: -2.222 index points2026-09-29: -2.244 index points2026-09-30: -2.349 index points2026-10-01: -2.036 index points2026-10-02: -2.088 index points2026-10-05: -2.109 index points2026-10-06: -2.152 index points2026-10-07: -1.929 index points2026-10-08: -1.999 index points2026-10-09: -2.122 index points2026-10-12: -2.154 index points2026-10-13: -2.139 index points2026-10-14: -2.195 index points2026-10-15: -1.868 index points2026-10-16: -1.867 index points2026-10-19: -1.893 index points2026-10-20: -1.881 index points2026-10-21: -1.975 index points2026-10-22: -1.479 index points13 Feb 202618 Jun 202622 Oct 2026

Showing periods 6,607–6,786 of 6,786 in this date range. Each chart page contains at most 180 original periods; values are not downsampled. All retained snapshot-selected periods are available.

Uses snapshot-selected vintages. The final eight exact values in this window are tabulated above. The pinned JSON query provides all matching observations and provenance; follow its cursor for further pages.

Snapshot identity
Snapshot
ero_us_macro_financial_20261027T003609Z_3476e48f61e8
Profile version
11.0.0
Generated
27 Oct 2026 · 00:38 UTC
Analytical content SHA-256
3476e48f61e89a392bf424594d533e4786040223a0d6bad7c1aa54e7ac1c3ce3

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov. Data access dates are supplied as retrieved_at in canonical observations. Latest retained BLS access: 03 Oct 2026 · 00:33 UTC. BLS source terms

Source: BIS debt service, credit and credit-gap statistics; debt service is model-based. ECO I's calculations and interpretation are its own; BIS does not endorse them. BIS statistical-use terms