U.S. ECONOMY & MARKETS27 Oct 2026 · 00:36 UTC
IndicatorsUnemployment rate

INDICATOR DETAIL

U.S. unemployment rate

4.2%
ValidPeriod ending 30 Sep 2026Available 03 Oct 2026 · 00:33 UTC

Civilian unemployment rate, age 16 and over

History

32 readings.

All retained dates

Dates refer to the economic period ending and apply to all charts below. Leave a date blank for an open range.

Published metric history, %32 observed values from 2024-01-31 to 2026-09-30. Horizontal position follows economic dates. Lines stop at explicitly missing source periods. Recent exact values follow in the table; all retained readings are available through the pinned JSON query.3.754.004.254.502024-01-31: 3.7 %2024-02-29: 3.9 %2024-03-31: 3.9 %2024-04-30: 3.9 %2024-05-31: 3.9 %2024-06-30: 4.1 %2024-07-31: 4.2 %2024-08-31: 4.2 %2024-09-30: 4.1 %2024-10-31: 4.1 %2024-11-30: 4.2 %2024-12-31: 4.1 %2025-01-31: 4 %2025-02-28: 4.2 %2025-03-31: 4.2 %2025-04-30: 4.2 %2025-05-31: 4.3 %2025-06-30: 4.1 %2025-07-31: 4.3 %2025-08-31: 4.3 %2025-09-30: 4.4 %2025-11-30: 4.5 %2025-12-31: 4.4 %2026-01-31: 4.3 %2026-02-28: 4.4 %2026-03-31: 4.3 %2026-04-30: 4.3 %2026-05-31: 4.3 %2026-06-30: 4.2 %2026-07-31: 4.1 %2026-08-31: 4.1 %2026-09-30: 4.2 %31 Jan 202431 May 202530 Sep 2026

Showing periods 1–32 of 32 in this date range. Each chart page contains at most 180 original periods; values are not downsampled. All retained snapshot-selected periods are available.

Uses the data available in this saved assessment; later revisions may change historical values. This reconstructed chart does not show what was known on each historical date. Missing source periods break the line; unavailable metric values are omitted. Quality is evaluated at the assessment date.

Exact values · final 12 periods in this chart window
Exact plotted metric readings
Economic periodValueUnitQuality
30 Sep 20254.4%Valid
30 Nov 20254.5%Valid
31 Dec 20254.4%Valid
31 Jan 20264.3%Valid
28 Feb 20264.4%Valid
31 Mar 20264.3%Valid
30 Apr 20264.3%Valid
31 May 20264.3%Valid
30 Jun 20264.2%Valid
31 Jul 20264.1%Valid
31 Aug 20264.1%Valid
30 Sep 20264.2%Valid
Method, sources and timing

Economic period & freshness

Calculation uses the latest completed observation available at evaluation time, with its actual economic period and original availability. An older period contributes to assessment only within the configured source-age limit. Newly observed missing or invalid evidence is not replaced with an earlier value. Source status uses economic-age thresholds, not a release calendar; no future release time is inferred.

Source timing diagnostics
InputLatest source periodObservation ageAvailable to ECO ISource status
Unemployment rate30 Sep 202627 days03 Oct 2026 · 00:33 UTCCurrent
THE PUBLISHED TRANSFORMOutput the original BLS seasonally adjusted civilian unemployment rate for the latest available monthly period.

The unemployment rate describes the share of the civilian labor force actively seeking work and available for work; it is not a crash probability. Monthly current revised estimates retain published missing periods and source footnotes. No gaps are interpolated and annual averages are excluded. Population-control updates and seasonal revisions can affect comparability. This rate level is descriptive context, not the Sahm recession indicator.

Definition 7.0.0 · us_unemployment_rate
VALIDATION MATURITY

Research informed

The published rate describes current labor-market conditions, without estimating the probability or timing of recession or a bubble burst.

BLS Current Population Survey methodology; descriptive context with no ECO I severity thresholds.

Canonical observations JSON ↗
Canonical source observations
Period endingSource valueUnitQualityAvailable to ECO I
28 Feb 20264.4%Valid05 Sep 2026 · 21:45 UTC
31 Mar 20264.3%Valid05 Sep 2026 · 21:45 UTC
30 Apr 20264.3%Valid05 Sep 2026 · 21:45 UTC
31 May 20264.3%Valid05 Sep 2026 · 21:45 UTC
30 Jun 20264.2%Valid05 Sep 2026 · 21:45 UTC
31 Jul 20264.1%Valid05 Sep 2026 · 21:45 UTC
31 Aug 20264.1%Valid05 Sep 2026 · 21:45 UTC
30 Sep 20264.2%Valid03 Oct 2026 · 00:33 UTC
BLS source notes
Retained BLS source notes
Period endingPublished footnote
31 Oct 2025[9] Data unavailable due to the 2025 lapse in appropriations.
31 Jan 2026[12] January 2026 estimates were revised to incorporate updated population controls. For more information, see www.bls.gov/cps/documentation.htm#pop.

Original BLS JSON · d8bf656b0c9f… ↗

Original BLS JSON · c879383dd4d7… ↗

Showing 2 of 2 retained source files. All retained source file hashes (JSON) ↗

Credit: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Retrieval dates accompany the observations. BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov. File hashes identify the exact retrieved bytes; these are not historical point-in-time vintages.

Chart source observations · 33 periods in this windowCanonical source observations, %32 observed values from 2024-01-31 to 2026-09-30. Horizontal position follows economic dates. Lines stop at explicitly missing source periods. Recent exact values follow in the table; all retained readings are available through the pinned JSON query.3.754.004.254.502024-01-31: 3.7 %2024-02-29: 3.9 %2024-03-31: 3.9 %2024-04-30: 3.9 %2024-05-31: 3.9 %2024-06-30: 4.1 %2024-07-31: 4.2 %2024-08-31: 4.2 %2024-09-30: 4.1 %2024-10-31: 4.1 %2024-11-30: 4.2 %2024-12-31: 4.1 %2025-01-31: 4 %2025-02-28: 4.2 %2025-03-31: 4.2 %2025-04-30: 4.2 %2025-05-31: 4.3 %2025-06-30: 4.1 %2025-07-31: 4.3 %2025-08-31: 4.3 %2025-09-30: 4.4 %2025-11-30: 4.5 %2025-12-31: 4.4 %2026-01-31: 4.3 %2026-02-28: 4.4 %2026-03-31: 4.3 %2026-04-30: 4.3 %2026-05-31: 4.3 %2026-06-30: 4.2 %2026-07-31: 4.1 %2026-08-31: 4.1 %2026-09-30: 4.2 %31 Jan 202431 May 202530 Sep 2026

Showing periods 1–33 of 33 in this date range. Each chart page contains at most 180 original periods; values are not downsampled. All retained snapshot-selected periods are available.

Uses snapshot-selected vintages. The final eight exact values in this window are tabulated above. The pinned JSON query provides all matching observations and provenance; follow its cursor for further pages.

Snapshot identity
Snapshot
ero_us_macro_financial_20261027T003609Z_3476e48f61e8
Profile version
11.0.0
Generated
27 Oct 2026 · 00:38 UTC
Analytical content SHA-256
3476e48f61e89a392bf424594d533e4786040223a0d6bad7c1aa54e7ac1c3ce3

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov. Data access dates are supplied as retrieved_at in canonical observations. Latest retained BLS access: 03 Oct 2026 · 00:33 UTC. BLS source terms

Source: BIS debt service, credit and credit-gap statistics; debt service is model-based. ECO I's calculations and interpretation are its own; BIS does not endorse them. BIS statistical-use terms