THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE Experimental; data and analysis may be wrong or delayed, so do not rely on this site to make financial decisions. Full disclaimer U.S. ECONOMY & MARKETS 27 Oct 2026 · 00:36 UTC INDICATOR DETAIL
OECD composite leading indicator (United States) 101 index_long_term_average_100
Valid Period ending 30 Sep 2026 Available 22 Oct 2026 · 20:25 UTC
OECD composite leading indicator (United States)
Published metric history, index_long_term_average_100 180 observed values from 2011-10-31 to 2026-09-30. Horizontal position follows economic dates. Lines stop at explicitly missing source periods. Recent exact values follow in the table; all retained readings are available through the pinned JSON query. 95 100 2011-10-31: 99.15 index_long_term_average_100 2011-11-30: 99.3 index_long_term_average_100 2011-12-31: 99.52 index_long_term_average_100 2012-01-31: 99.74 index_long_term_average_100 2012-02-29: 99.89 index_long_term_average_100 2012-03-31: 99.95 index_long_term_average_100 2012-04-30: 99.92 index_long_term_average_100 2012-05-31: 99.83 index_long_term_average_100 2012-06-30: 99.71 index_long_term_average_100 2012-07-31: 99.62 index_long_term_average_100 2012-08-31: 99.59 index_long_term_average_100 2012-09-30: 99.62 index_long_term_average_100 2012-10-31: 99.7 index_long_term_average_100 2012-11-30: 99.79 index_long_term_average_100 2012-12-31: 99.92 index_long_term_average_100 2013-01-31: 100.06 index_long_term_average_100 2013-02-28: 100.21 index_long_term_average_100 2013-03-31: 100.33 index_long_term_average_100 2013-04-30: 100.45 index_long_term_average_100 2013-05-31: 100.56 index_long_term_average_100 2013-06-30: 100.65 index_long_term_average_100 2013-07-31: 100.7 index_long_term_average_100 2013-08-31: 100.73 index_long_term_average_100 2013-09-30: 100.75 index_long_term_average_100 2013-10-31: 100.75 index_long_term_average_100 2013-11-30: 100.76 index_long_term_average_100 2013-12-31: 100.75 index_long_term_average_100 2014-01-31: 100.74 index_long_term_average_100 2014-02-28: 100.75 index_long_term_average_100 2014-03-31: 100.8 index_long_term_average_100 2014-04-30: 100.86 index_long_term_average_100 2014-05-31: 100.9 index_long_term_average_100 2014-06-30: 100.94 index_long_term_average_100 2014-07-31: 100.96 index_long_term_average_100 2014-08-31: 100.96 index_long_term_average_100 2014-09-30: 100.94 index_long_term_average_100 2014-10-31: 100.91 index_long_term_average_100 2014-11-30: 100.86 index_long_term_average_100 2014-12-31: 100.79 index_long_term_average_100 2015-01-31: 100.69 index_long_term_average_100 2015-02-28: 100.59 index_long_term_average_100 2015-03-31: 100.48 index_long_term_average_100 2015-04-30: 100.38 index_long_term_average_100 2015-05-31: 100.27 index_long_term_average_100 2015-06-30: 100.14 index_long_term_average_100 2015-07-31: 99.99 index_long_term_average_100 2015-08-31: 99.81 index_long_term_average_100 2015-09-30: 99.63 index_long_term_average_100 2015-10-31: 99.49 index_long_term_average_100 2015-11-30: 99.37 index_long_term_average_100 2015-12-31: 99.26 index_long_term_average_100 2016-01-31: 99.18 index_long_term_average_100 2016-02-29: 99.12 index_long_term_average_100 2016-03-31: 99.1 index_long_term_average_100 2016-04-30: 99.1 index_long_term_average_100 2016-05-31: 99.11 index_long_term_average_100 2016-06-30: 99.11 index_long_term_average_100 2016-07-31: 99.13 index_long_term_average_100 2016-08-31: 99.17 index_long_term_average_100 2016-09-30: 99.26 index_long_term_average_100 2016-10-31: 99.39 index_long_term_average_100 2016-11-30: 99.54 index_long_term_average_100 2016-12-31: 99.68 index_long_term_average_100 2017-01-31: 99.8 index_long_term_average_100 2017-02-28: 99.88 index_long_term_average_100 2017-03-31: 99.92 index_long_term_average_100 2017-04-30: 99.93 index_long_term_average_100 2017-05-31: 99.94 index_long_term_average_100 2017-06-30: 99.95 index_long_term_average_100 2017-07-31: 99.99 index_long_term_average_100 2017-08-31: 100.07 index_long_term_average_100 2017-09-30: 100.18 index_long_term_average_100 2017-10-31: 100.31 index_long_term_average_100 2017-11-30: 100.45 index_long_term_average_100 2017-12-31: 100.58 index_long_term_average_100 2018-01-31: 100.72 index_long_term_average_100 2018-02-28: 100.84 index_long_term_average_100 2018-03-31: 100.92 index_long_term_average_100 2018-04-30: 100.94 index_long_term_average_100 2018-05-31: 100.93 index_long_term_average_100 2018-06-30: 100.88 index_long_term_average_100 2018-07-31: 100.81 index_long_term_average_100 2018-08-31: 100.71 index_long_term_average_100 2018-09-30: 100.57 index_long_term_average_100 2018-10-31: 100.38 index_long_term_average_100 2018-11-30: 100.17 index_long_term_average_100 2018-12-31: 99.95 index_long_term_average_100 2019-01-31: 99.76 index_long_term_average_100 2019-02-28: 99.59 index_long_term_average_100 2019-03-31: 99.46 index_long_term_average_100 2019-04-30: 99.34 index_long_term_average_100 2019-05-31: 99.23 index_long_term_average_100 2019-06-30: 99.13 index_long_term_average_100 2019-07-31: 99.04 index_long_term_average_100 2019-08-31: 98.99 index_long_term_average_100 2019-09-30: 99 index_long_term_average_100 2019-10-31: 99.05 index_long_term_average_100 2019-11-30: 99.14 index_long_term_average_100 2019-12-31: 99.21 index_long_term_average_100 2020-01-31: 99.25 index_long_term_average_100 2020-02-29: 99.21 index_long_term_average_100 2020-03-31: 97.8 index_long_term_average_100 2020-04-30: 92.93 index_long_term_average_100 2020-05-31: 94.46 index_long_term_average_100 2020-06-30: 96.34 index_long_term_average_100 2020-07-31: 97.89 index_long_term_average_100 2020-08-31: 98.6 index_long_term_average_100 2020-09-30: 98.9 index_long_term_average_100 2020-10-31: 99.26 index_long_term_average_100 2020-11-30: 99.66 index_long_term_average_100 2020-12-31: 100.08 index_long_term_average_100 2021-01-31: 100.45 index_long_term_average_100 2021-02-28: 100.8 index_long_term_average_100 2021-03-31: 101.11 index_long_term_average_100 2021-04-30: 101.35 index_long_term_average_100 2021-05-31: 101.41 index_long_term_average_100 2021-06-30: 101.41 index_long_term_average_100 2021-07-31: 101.35 index_long_term_average_100 2021-08-31: 101.28 index_long_term_average_100 2021-09-30: 101.23 index_long_term_average_100 2021-10-31: 101.2 index_long_term_average_100 2021-11-30: 101.17 index_long_term_average_100 2021-12-31: 101.13 index_long_term_average_100 2022-01-31: 101.03 index_long_term_average_100 2022-02-28: 100.88 index_long_term_average_100 2022-03-31: 100.67 index_long_term_average_100 2022-04-30: 100.39 index_long_term_average_100 2022-05-31: 100.07 index_long_term_average_100 2022-06-30: 99.74 index_long_term_average_100 2022-07-31: 99.46 index_long_term_average_100 2022-08-31: 99.24 index_long_term_average_100 2022-09-30: 99.07 index_long_term_average_100 2022-10-31: 98.93 index_long_term_average_100 2022-11-30: 98.82 index_long_term_average_100 2022-12-31: 98.74 index_long_term_average_100 2023-01-31: 98.68 index_long_term_average_100 2023-02-28: 98.62 index_long_term_average_100 2023-03-31: 98.58 index_long_term_average_100 2023-04-30: 98.57 index_long_term_average_100 2023-05-31: 98.6 index_long_term_average_100 2023-06-30: 98.67 index_long_term_average_100 2023-07-31: 98.75 index_long_term_average_100 2023-08-31: 98.8 index_long_term_average_100 2023-09-30: 98.84 index_long_term_average_100 2023-10-31: 98.86 index_long_term_average_100 2023-11-30: 98.9 index_long_term_average_100 2023-12-31: 98.99 index_long_term_average_100 2024-01-31: 99.09 index_long_term_average_100 2024-02-29: 99.2 index_long_term_average_100 2024-03-31: 99.28 index_long_term_average_100 2024-04-30: 99.32 index_long_term_average_100 2024-05-31: 99.31 index_long_term_average_100 2024-06-30: 99.3 index_long_term_average_100 2024-07-31: 99.32 index_long_term_average_100 2024-08-31: 99.37 index_long_term_average_100 2024-09-30: 99.47 index_long_term_average_100 2024-10-31: 99.59 index_long_term_average_100 2024-11-30: 99.69 index_long_term_average_100 2024-12-31: 99.76 index_long_term_average_100 2025-01-31: 99.75 index_long_term_average_100 2025-02-28: 99.69 index_long_term_average_100 2025-03-31: 99.59 index_long_term_average_100 2025-04-30: 99.5 index_long_term_average_100 2025-05-31: 99.46 index_long_term_average_100 2025-06-30: 99.47 index_long_term_average_100 2025-07-31: 99.51 index_long_term_average_100 2025-08-31: 99.55 index_long_term_average_100 2025-09-30: 99.61 index_long_term_average_100 2025-10-31: 99.7 index_long_term_average_100 2025-11-30: 99.82 index_long_term_average_100 2025-12-31: 99.98 index_long_term_average_100 2026-01-31: 100.15 index_long_term_average_100 2026-02-28: 100.31 index_long_term_average_100 2026-03-31: 100.43 index_long_term_average_100 2026-04-30: 100.54 index_long_term_average_100 2026-05-31: 100.65 index_long_term_average_100 2026-06-30: 100.76 index_long_term_average_100 2026-07-31: 100.87 index_long_term_average_100 2026-08-31: 100.95 index_long_term_average_100 2026-09-30: 101 index_long_term_average_100 31 Oct 2011 16 Apr 2019 30 Sep 2026 Showing periods 682–861 of 861 in this date range. Each chart page contains at most 180 original periods; values are not downsampled. All retained snapshot-selected periods are available.
← Older periods Uses the data available in this saved assessment; later revisions may change historical values. This reconstructed chart does not show what was known on each historical date. Missing source periods break the line; unavailable metric values are omitted. Quality is evaluated at the assessment date.
Exact values · final 12 periods in this chart window Method, sources and timing Economic period & freshness Calculation uses the latest completed observation available at evaluation time, with its actual economic period and original availability. An older period contributes to assessment only within the configured source-age limit. Newly observed missing or invalid evidence is not replaced with an earlier value. Source status uses economic-age thresholds, not a release calendar; no future release time is inferred.
THE PUBLISHED TRANSFORM Output the latest original published value for its native economic period.Amplitude-adjusted, long-term average = 100. Turning points, not levels, carry the signal; the OECD targets turning points in activity about six to nine months ahead. Recent months are revised as components arrive, and the 2023 method revision changed history; it is context, not an ECO I rule. Monthly OECD release about five to six weeks after the month; availability is the first retrieval.
Definition 11.0.0 · usa_oecd_leading_indicator VALIDATION MATURITY Research informed OECD composite leading indicators anticipate turning points in activity about six to nine months ahead.
Published official-source context; the complete assessment and these supplementary growth/capacity interpretations are not established as calibrated crisis forecasts.
Chart source observations · 180 periods in this window Canonical source observations, index_long_term_average_100 180 observed values from 2011-10-31 to 2026-09-30. Horizontal position follows economic dates. Lines stop at explicitly missing source periods. Recent exact values follow in the table; all retained readings are available through the pinned JSON query. 95 100 2011-10-31: 99.15 index_long_term_average_100 2011-11-30: 99.30 index_long_term_average_100 2011-12-31: 99.5169 index_long_term_average_100 2012-01-31: 99.74 index_long_term_average_100 2012-02-29: 99.89 index_long_term_average_100 2012-03-31: 99.95 index_long_term_average_100 2012-04-30: 99.92 index_long_term_average_100 2012-05-31: 99.83 index_long_term_average_100 2012-06-30: 99.71 index_long_term_average_100 2012-07-31: 99.62 index_long_term_average_100 2012-08-31: 99.59 index_long_term_average_100 2012-09-30: 99.62 index_long_term_average_100 2012-10-31: 99.70 index_long_term_average_100 2012-11-30: 99.79 index_long_term_average_100 2012-12-31: 99.92 index_long_term_average_100 2013-01-31: 100.0616 index_long_term_average_100 2013-02-28: 100.2084 index_long_term_average_100 2013-03-31: 100.3324 index_long_term_average_100 2013-04-30: 100.4479 index_long_term_average_100 2013-05-31: 100.5618 index_long_term_average_100 2013-06-30: 100.6511 index_long_term_average_100 2013-07-31: 100.7044 index_long_term_average_100 2013-08-31: 100.734 index_long_term_average_100 2013-09-30: 100.7462 index_long_term_average_100 2013-10-31: 100.7509 index_long_term_average_100 2013-11-30: 100.7564 index_long_term_average_100 2013-12-31: 100.7502 index_long_term_average_100 2014-01-31: 100.7378 index_long_term_average_100 2014-02-28: 100.7538 index_long_term_average_100 2014-03-31: 100.7993 index_long_term_average_100 2014-04-30: 100.8556 index_long_term_average_100 2014-05-31: 100.9046 index_long_term_average_100 2014-06-30: 100.9394 index_long_term_average_100 2014-07-31: 100.956 index_long_term_average_100 2014-08-31: 100.9567 index_long_term_average_100 2014-09-30: 100.944 index_long_term_average_100 2014-10-31: 100.9134 index_long_term_average_100 2014-11-30: 100.8637 index_long_term_average_100 2014-12-31: 100.7895 index_long_term_average_100 2015-01-31: 100.6938 index_long_term_average_100 2015-02-28: 100.5859 index_long_term_average_100 2015-03-31: 100.4797 index_long_term_average_100 2015-04-30: 100.3758 index_long_term_average_100 2015-05-31: 100.2657 index_long_term_average_100 2015-06-30: 100.1436 index_long_term_average_100 2015-07-31: 99.99 index_long_term_average_100 2015-08-31: 99.81 index_long_term_average_100 2015-09-30: 99.634 index_long_term_average_100 2015-10-31: 99.49 index_long_term_average_100 2015-11-30: 99.37 index_long_term_average_100 2015-12-31: 99.26 index_long_term_average_100 2016-01-31: 99.18 index_long_term_average_100 2016-02-29: 99.12 index_long_term_average_100 2016-03-31: 99.10 index_long_term_average_100 2016-04-30: 99.10 index_long_term_average_100 2016-05-31: 99.11 index_long_term_average_100 2016-06-30: 99.11 index_long_term_average_100 2016-07-31: 99.13 index_long_term_average_100 2016-08-31: 99.17 index_long_term_average_100 2016-09-30: 99.26 index_long_term_average_100 2016-10-31: 99.39 index_long_term_average_100 2016-11-30: 99.54 index_long_term_average_100 2016-12-31: 99.68 index_long_term_average_100 2017-01-31: 99.80 index_long_term_average_100 2017-02-28: 99.88 index_long_term_average_100 2017-03-31: 99.92 index_long_term_average_100 2017-04-30: 99.93 index_long_term_average_100 2017-05-31: 99.94 index_long_term_average_100 2017-06-30: 99.95 index_long_term_average_100 2017-07-31: 99.9898 index_long_term_average_100 2017-08-31: 100.0669 index_long_term_average_100 2017-09-30: 100.1781 index_long_term_average_100 2017-10-31: 100.3111 index_long_term_average_100 2017-11-30: 100.4476 index_long_term_average_100 2017-12-31: 100.5833 index_long_term_average_100 2018-01-31: 100.7176 index_long_term_average_100 2018-02-28: 100.8396 index_long_term_average_100 2018-03-31: 100.9171 index_long_term_average_100 2018-04-30: 100.9434 index_long_term_average_100 2018-05-31: 100.9273 index_long_term_average_100 2018-06-30: 100.8803 index_long_term_average_100 2018-07-31: 100.8054 index_long_term_average_100 2018-08-31: 100.7053 index_long_term_average_100 2018-09-30: 100.5655 index_long_term_average_100 2018-10-31: 100.3812 index_long_term_average_100 2018-11-30: 100.1697 index_long_term_average_100 2018-12-31: 99.95 index_long_term_average_100 2019-01-31: 99.7553 index_long_term_average_100 2019-02-28: 99.59 index_long_term_average_100 2019-03-31: 99.46 index_long_term_average_100 2019-04-30: 99.34 index_long_term_average_100 2019-05-31: 99.23 index_long_term_average_100 2019-06-30: 99.13 index_long_term_average_100 2019-07-31: 99.04 index_long_term_average_100 2019-08-31: 98.99 index_long_term_average_100 2019-09-30: 99.00 index_long_term_average_100 2019-10-31: 99.05 index_long_term_average_100 2019-11-30: 99.14 index_long_term_average_100 2019-12-31: 99.2149 index_long_term_average_100 2020-01-31: 99.25 index_long_term_average_100 2020-02-29: 99.21 index_long_term_average_100 2020-03-31: 97.802 index_long_term_average_100 2020-04-30: 92.93 index_long_term_average_100 2020-05-31: 94.46 index_long_term_average_100 2020-06-30: 96.34 index_long_term_average_100 2020-07-31: 97.89 index_long_term_average_100 2020-08-31: 98.60 index_long_term_average_100 2020-09-30: 98.90 index_long_term_average_100 2020-10-31: 99.26 index_long_term_average_100 2020-11-30: 99.66 index_long_term_average_100 2020-12-31: 100.0796 index_long_term_average_100 2021-01-31: 100.446 index_long_term_average_100 2021-02-28: 100.7998 index_long_term_average_100 2021-03-31: 101.111 index_long_term_average_100 2021-04-30: 101.3496 index_long_term_average_100 2021-05-31: 101.4108 index_long_term_average_100 2021-06-30: 101.4063 index_long_term_average_100 2021-07-31: 101.3518 index_long_term_average_100 2021-08-31: 101.2817 index_long_term_average_100 2021-09-30: 101.2288 index_long_term_average_100 2021-10-31: 101.1981 index_long_term_average_100 2021-11-30: 101.1736 index_long_term_average_100 2021-12-31: 101.1259 index_long_term_average_100 2022-01-31: 101.0301 index_long_term_average_100 2022-02-28: 100.8795 index_long_term_average_100 2022-03-31: 100.6653 index_long_term_average_100 2022-04-30: 100.3907 index_long_term_average_100 2022-05-31: 100.0652 index_long_term_average_100 2022-06-30: 99.74 index_long_term_average_100 2022-07-31: 99.46 index_long_term_average_100 2022-08-31: 99.24 index_long_term_average_100 2022-09-30: 99.07 index_long_term_average_100 2022-10-31: 98.93 index_long_term_average_100 2022-11-30: 98.82 index_long_term_average_100 2022-12-31: 98.74 index_long_term_average_100 2023-01-31: 98.68 index_long_term_average_100 2023-02-28: 98.62 index_long_term_average_100 2023-03-31: 98.58 index_long_term_average_100 2023-04-30: 98.57 index_long_term_average_100 2023-05-31: 98.60 index_long_term_average_100 2023-06-30: 98.67 index_long_term_average_100 2023-07-31: 98.75 index_long_term_average_100 2023-08-31: 98.80 index_long_term_average_100 2023-09-30: 98.84 index_long_term_average_100 2023-10-31: 98.86 index_long_term_average_100 2023-11-30: 98.90 index_long_term_average_100 2023-12-31: 98.99 index_long_term_average_100 2024-01-31: 99.09 index_long_term_average_100 2024-02-29: 99.20 index_long_term_average_100 2024-03-31: 99.28 index_long_term_average_100 2024-04-30: 99.32 index_long_term_average_100 2024-05-31: 99.31 index_long_term_average_100 2024-06-30: 99.30 index_long_term_average_100 2024-07-31: 99.32 index_long_term_average_100 2024-08-31: 99.37 index_long_term_average_100 2024-09-30: 99.47 index_long_term_average_100 2024-10-31: 99.59 index_long_term_average_100 2024-11-30: 99.6934 index_long_term_average_100 2024-12-31: 99.76 index_long_term_average_100 2025-01-31: 99.75 index_long_term_average_100 2025-02-28: 99.69 index_long_term_average_100 2025-03-31: 99.5894 index_long_term_average_100 2025-04-30: 99.50 index_long_term_average_100 2025-05-31: 99.46 index_long_term_average_100 2025-06-30: 99.47 index_long_term_average_100 2025-07-31: 99.51 index_long_term_average_100 2025-08-31: 99.55 index_long_term_average_100 2025-09-30: 99.61 index_long_term_average_100 2025-10-31: 99.70 index_long_term_average_100 2025-11-30: 99.82 index_long_term_average_100 2025-12-31: 99.98 index_long_term_average_100 2026-01-31: 100.1517 index_long_term_average_100 2026-02-28: 100.3057 index_long_term_average_100 2026-03-31: 100.4315 index_long_term_average_100 2026-04-30: 100.5444 index_long_term_average_100 2026-05-31: 100.65 index_long_term_average_100 2026-06-30: 100.763 index_long_term_average_100 2026-07-31: 100.8691 index_long_term_average_100 2026-08-31: 100.9464 index_long_term_average_100 2026-09-30: 100.9993 index_long_term_average_100 31 Oct 2011 16 Apr 2019 30 Sep 2026 Showing periods 682–861 of 861 in this date range. Each chart page contains at most 180 original periods; values are not downsampled. All retained snapshot-selected periods are available.
← Older periods Uses snapshot-selected vintages. The final eight exact values in this window are tabulated above. The pinned JSON query provides all matching observations and provenance; follow its cursor for further pages.
Snapshot identity Snapshot ero_us_macro_financial_20261027T003609Z_3476e48f61e8 Profile version 11.0.0 Generated 27 Oct 2026 · 00:38 UTC Analytical content SHA-256 3476e48f61e89a392bf424594d533e4786040223a0d6bad7c1aa54e7ac1c3ce3 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov. Data access dates are supplied as retrieved_at in canonical observations. Latest retained BLS access: 03 Oct 2026 · 00:33 UTC. BLS source terms
Source: BIS debt service, credit and credit-gap statistics; debt service is model-based. ECO I's calculations and interpretation are its own; BIS does not endorse them. BIS statistical-use terms