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Full disclaimer U.S. ECONOMY & MARKETS 10 Sep 2026 · 00:35 UTC
INDICATOR DETAIL
OFR global financial stress JSON report -2.874 index points
Valid Period ending 07 Sep 2026 Available 09 Sep 2026 · 17:34 UTC
Global financial market stress is below its historical-average baseline. This is market-stress context. It does not measure bubble valuations or estimate a crash probability. OFR publishes with a two-business-day lag; the dates below show the economic period and when ECO I first received the evidence. An earlier economic period is in use. Requested period: 09 Sep 2026. Actual period: 07 Sep 2026. The source availability date and configured freshness limit are retained. Published metric history, index points 180 observed values from 2025-12-30 to 2026-09-07. Horizontal position follows economic dates. Lines stop at explicitly missing source periods. Recent exact values follow in the table; all retained readings are available through the pinned JSON query. -3.35 -2.38 -1.41 -0.44 0.53 2025-12-30: -2.684 index points 2025-12-31: -2.707 index points 2026-01-01: -2.704 index points 2026-01-02: -2.733 index points 2026-01-05: -2.712 index points 2026-01-06: -2.751 index points 2026-01-07: -2.596 index points 2026-01-08: -2.627 index points 2026-01-09: -2.816 index points 2026-01-12: -2.792 index points 2026-01-13: -2.715 index points 2026-01-14: -2.626 index points 2026-01-15: -2.69 index points 2026-01-16: -2.701 index points 2026-01-19: -2.437 index points 2026-01-20: -2.195 index points 2026-01-21: -2.445 index points 2026-01-22: -2.68 index points 2026-01-23: -2.505 index points 2026-01-26: -2.478 index points 2026-01-27: -2.383 index points 2026-01-28: -2.404 index points 2026-01-29: -2.305 index points 2026-01-30: -2.255 index points 2026-02-02: -2.326 index points 2026-02-03: -2.335 index points 2026-02-04: -2.295 index points 2026-02-05: -1.932 index points 2026-02-06: -2.127 index points 2026-02-09: -2.25 index points 2026-02-10: -2.28 index points 2026-02-11: -2.305 index points 2026-02-12: -2.138 index points 2026-02-13: -2.115 index points 2026-02-16: -2.21 index points 2026-02-17: -2.294 index points 2026-02-18: -2.505 index points 2026-02-19: -2.359 index points 2026-02-20: -2.527 index points 2026-02-23: -2.396 index points 2026-02-24: -2.344 index points 2026-02-25: -2.601 index points 2026-02-26: -2.414 index points 2026-02-27: -2.386 index points 2026-03-02: -1.893 index points 2026-03-03: -1.61 index points 2026-03-04: -1.19 index points 2026-03-05: -1.574 index points 2026-03-06: -0.802 index points 2026-03-09: -0.296 index points 2026-03-10: -1.458 index points 2026-03-11: -0.925 index points 2026-03-12: -0.613 index points 2026-03-13: -0.432 index points 2026-03-16: -0.796 index points 2026-03-17: -1.314 index points 2026-03-18: -1.208 index points 2026-03-19: -0.958 index points 2026-03-20: -0.675 index points 2026-03-23: -0.472 index points 2026-03-24: -0.568 index points 2026-03-25: -0.717 index points 2026-03-26: -0.216 index points 2026-03-27: -0.263 index points 2026-03-30: 0.204 index points 2026-03-31: -0.284 index points 2026-04-01: -1.282 index points 2026-04-02: -0.671 index points 2026-04-03: -1.284 index points 2026-04-06: -0.925 index points 2026-04-07: -0.687 index points 2026-04-08: -1.496 index points 2026-04-09: -1.648 index points 2026-04-10: -1.796 index points 2026-04-13: -1.788 index points 2026-04-14: -2.051 index points 2026-04-15: -2.172 index points 2026-04-16: -2.172 index points 2026-04-17: -2.343 index points 2026-04-20: -2.05 index points 2026-04-21: -2.09 index points 2026-04-22: -2.127 index points 2026-04-23: -2.146 index points 2026-04-24: -2.058 index points 2026-04-27: -2.077 index points 2026-04-28: -1.974 index points 2026-04-29: -1.972 index points 2026-04-30: -2.108 index points 2026-05-01: -1.818 index points 2026-05-04: -1.735 index points 2026-05-05: -1.825 index points 2026-05-06: -2.031 index points 2026-05-07: -2.179 index points 2026-05-08: -2.271 index points 2026-05-11: -2.346 index points 2026-05-12: -2.294 index points 2026-05-13: -2.355 index points 2026-05-14: -2.479 index points 2026-05-15: -2.27 index points 2026-05-18: -2.179 index points 2026-05-19: -2.168 index points 2026-05-20: -2.258 index points 2026-05-21: -2.457 index points 2026-05-22: -2.484 index points 2026-05-25: -2.481 index points 2026-05-26: -2.546 index points 2026-05-27: -2.575 index points 2026-05-28: -2.734 index points 2026-05-29: -2.976 index points 2026-06-01: -2.723 index points 2026-06-02: -2.63 index points 2026-06-03: -2.704 index points 2026-06-04: -2.682 index points 2026-06-05: -2.472 index points 2026-06-08: -2.361 index points 2026-06-09: -2.311 index points 2026-06-10: -1.918 index points 2026-06-11: -1.998 index points 2026-06-12: -2.29 index points 2026-06-15: -2.597 index points 2026-06-16: -2.748 index points 2026-06-17: -2.757 index points 2026-06-18: -2.741 index points 2026-06-19: -2.658 index points 2026-06-22: -2.724 index points 2026-06-23: -2.424 index points 2026-06-24: -2.152 index points 2026-06-25: -2.475 index points 2026-06-26: -2.385 index points 2026-06-29: -2.165 index points 2026-06-30: -2.39 index points 2026-07-01: -2.551 index points 2026-07-02: -2.851 index points 2026-07-03: -2.682 index points 2026-07-06: -2.633 index points 2026-07-07: -2.839 index points 2026-07-08: -2.082 index points 2026-07-09: -2.278 index points 2026-07-10: -2.512 index points 2026-07-13: -2.392 index points 2026-07-14: -2.455 index points 2026-07-15: -2.615 index points 2026-07-16: -2.526 index points 2026-07-17: -2.305 index points 2026-07-20: -2.313 index points 2026-07-21: -2.558 index points 2026-07-22: -2.607 index points 2026-07-23: -2.331 index points 2026-07-24: -2.417 index points 2026-07-27: -2.4 index points 2026-07-28: -2.157 index points 2026-07-29: -1.921 index points 2026-07-30: -2.116 index points 2026-07-31: -2.568 index points 2026-08-03: -2.394 index points 2026-08-04: -2.482 index points 2026-08-05: -2.592 index points 2026-08-06: -2.761 index points 2026-08-07: -2.764 index points 2026-08-10: -2.863 index points 2026-08-11: -2.907 index points 2026-08-12: -2.74 index points 2026-08-13: -2.782 index points 2026-08-14: -2.817 index points 2026-08-17: -2.824 index points 2026-08-18: -2.661 index points 2026-08-19: -2.624 index points 2026-08-20: -2.675 index points 2026-08-21: -2.814 index points 2026-08-24: -2.757 index points 2026-08-25: -2.734 index points 2026-08-26: -2.741 index points 2026-08-27: -2.847 index points 2026-08-28: -3.03 index points 2026-08-31: -2.767 index points 2026-09-01: -2.749 index points 2026-09-02: -2.768 index points 2026-09-03: -2.725 index points 2026-09-04: -2.791 index points 2026-09-07: -2.874 index points 30 Dec 2025 04 May 2026 07 Sep 2026 Showing periods 6,574–6,753 of 6,753 in this date range. Each chart page contains at most 180 original periods; values are not downsampled. All retained snapshot-selected periods are available.
← Older periods Uses the data available in this saved assessment; later revisions may change historical values. This reconstructed chart does not show what was known on each historical date. Missing source periods break the line; unavailable metric values are omitted. Quality is evaluated at the assessment date.
Exact values · final 12 periods in this chart window Economic period & freshness Calculation uses the latest completed observation available at evaluation time, with its actual economic period and original availability. An older period contributes to assessment only within the configured source-age limit. Newly observed missing or invalid evidence is not replaced with an earlier value. Source status uses economic-age thresholds, not a release calendar; no future release time is inferred.
THE PUBLISHED TRANSFORM What this value measures OFR global financial market stress relative to its historical average
Output the original published OFR Financial Stress Index observation.Positive values mean stress above the historical average; negative values mean below it. Zero is a descriptive reference, not an alarm threshold. Global stress is not a U.S. bubble valuation measure or a probability of a crash. Calm conditions do not exclude vulnerability. Published index revisions are retained prospectively. Components overlap the headline and cannot supply independent confirmations.
Definition 6.0.0 · us_ofr_financial_stress VALIDATION MATURITY Research informed The published index describes global financial market stress relative to its historical average. It does not forecast bubble bursts.
Original OFR methodology; descriptive context without ECO I severity thresholds.
Original OFR Financial Stress Index CSV · 26610e94c187… ↗
Original OFR Financial Stress Index CSV · adc28e13527a… ↗
Original OFR Financial Stress Index CSV · e0810051695b… ↗
Original OFR Financial Stress Index CSV · 1878da08fb6b… ↗
Showing 4 of 4 retained source files. All retained source file hashes (JSON) ↗
Original published index and contributions. Credit: Office of Financial Research. The underlying third-party market inputs are not included. File hashes identify the exact retrieved bytes; these are not historical point-in-time vintages.
Chart source observations · 180 periods in this window Canonical source observations, index points 180 observed values from 2025-12-30 to 2026-09-07. Horizontal position follows economic dates. Lines stop at explicitly missing source periods. Recent exact values follow in the table; all retained readings are available through the pinned JSON query. -3.35 -2.38 -1.41 -0.44 0.53 2025-12-30: -2.684 index points 2025-12-31: -2.707 index points 2026-01-01: -2.704 index points 2026-01-02: -2.733 index points 2026-01-05: -2.712 index points 2026-01-06: -2.751 index points 2026-01-07: -2.596 index points 2026-01-08: -2.627 index points 2026-01-09: -2.816 index points 2026-01-12: -2.792 index points 2026-01-13: -2.715 index points 2026-01-14: -2.626 index points 2026-01-15: -2.69 index points 2026-01-16: -2.701 index points 2026-01-19: -2.437 index points 2026-01-20: -2.195 index points 2026-01-21: -2.445 index points 2026-01-22: -2.68 index points 2026-01-23: -2.505 index points 2026-01-26: -2.478 index points 2026-01-27: -2.383 index points 2026-01-28: -2.404 index points 2026-01-29: -2.305 index points 2026-01-30: -2.255 index points 2026-02-02: -2.326 index points 2026-02-03: -2.335 index points 2026-02-04: -2.295 index points 2026-02-05: -1.932 index points 2026-02-06: -2.127 index points 2026-02-09: -2.25 index points 2026-02-10: -2.28 index points 2026-02-11: -2.305 index points 2026-02-12: -2.138 index points 2026-02-13: -2.115 index points 2026-02-16: -2.21 index points 2026-02-17: -2.294 index points 2026-02-18: -2.505 index points 2026-02-19: -2.359 index points 2026-02-20: -2.527 index points 2026-02-23: -2.396 index points 2026-02-24: -2.344 index points 2026-02-25: -2.601 index points 2026-02-26: -2.414 index points 2026-02-27: -2.386 index points 2026-03-02: -1.893 index points 2026-03-03: -1.61 index points 2026-03-04: -1.19 index points 2026-03-05: -1.574 index points 2026-03-06: -0.802 index points 2026-03-09: -0.296 index points 2026-03-10: -1.458 index points 2026-03-11: -0.925 index points 2026-03-12: -0.613 index points 2026-03-13: -0.432 index points 2026-03-16: -0.796 index points 2026-03-17: -1.314 index points 2026-03-18: -1.208 index points 2026-03-19: -0.958 index points 2026-03-20: -0.675 index points 2026-03-23: -0.472 index points 2026-03-24: -0.568 index points 2026-03-25: -0.717 index points 2026-03-26: -0.216 index points 2026-03-27: -0.263 index points 2026-03-30: 0.204 index points 2026-03-31: -0.284 index points 2026-04-01: -1.282 index points 2026-04-02: -0.671 index points 2026-04-03: -1.284 index points 2026-04-06: -0.925 index points 2026-04-07: -0.687 index points 2026-04-08: -1.496 index points 2026-04-09: -1.648 index points 2026-04-10: -1.796 index points 2026-04-13: -1.788 index points 2026-04-14: -2.051 index points 2026-04-15: -2.172 index points 2026-04-16: -2.172 index points 2026-04-17: -2.343 index points 2026-04-20: -2.05 index points 2026-04-21: -2.09 index points 2026-04-22: -2.127 index points 2026-04-23: -2.146 index points 2026-04-24: -2.058 index points 2026-04-27: -2.077 index points 2026-04-28: -1.974 index points 2026-04-29: -1.972 index points 2026-04-30: -2.108 index points 2026-05-01: -1.818 index points 2026-05-04: -1.735 index points 2026-05-05: -1.825 index points 2026-05-06: -2.031 index points 2026-05-07: -2.179 index points 2026-05-08: -2.271 index points 2026-05-11: -2.346 index points 2026-05-12: -2.294 index points 2026-05-13: -2.355 index points 2026-05-14: -2.479 index points 2026-05-15: -2.27 index points 2026-05-18: -2.179 index points 2026-05-19: -2.168 index points 2026-05-20: -2.258 index points 2026-05-21: -2.457 index points 2026-05-22: -2.484 index points 2026-05-25: -2.481 index points 2026-05-26: -2.546 index points 2026-05-27: -2.575 index points 2026-05-28: -2.734 index points 2026-05-29: -2.976 index points 2026-06-01: -2.723 index points 2026-06-02: -2.63 index points 2026-06-03: -2.704 index points 2026-06-04: -2.682 index points 2026-06-05: -2.472 index points 2026-06-08: -2.361 index points 2026-06-09: -2.311 index points 2026-06-10: -1.918 index points 2026-06-11: -1.998 index points 2026-06-12: -2.29 index points 2026-06-15: -2.597 index points 2026-06-16: -2.748 index points 2026-06-17: -2.757 index points 2026-06-18: -2.741 index points 2026-06-19: -2.658 index points 2026-06-22: -2.724 index points 2026-06-23: -2.424 index points 2026-06-24: -2.152 index points 2026-06-25: -2.475 index points 2026-06-26: -2.385 index points 2026-06-29: -2.165 index points 2026-06-30: -2.39 index points 2026-07-01: -2.551 index points 2026-07-02: -2.851 index points 2026-07-03: -2.682 index points 2026-07-06: -2.633 index points 2026-07-07: -2.839 index points 2026-07-08: -2.082 index points 2026-07-09: -2.278 index points 2026-07-10: -2.512 index points 2026-07-13: -2.392 index points 2026-07-14: -2.455 index points 2026-07-15: -2.615 index points 2026-07-16: -2.526 index points 2026-07-17: -2.305 index points 2026-07-20: -2.313 index points 2026-07-21: -2.558 index points 2026-07-22: -2.607 index points 2026-07-23: -2.331 index points 2026-07-24: -2.417 index points 2026-07-27: -2.4 index points 2026-07-28: -2.157 index points 2026-07-29: -1.921 index points 2026-07-30: -2.116 index points 2026-07-31: -2.568 index points 2026-08-03: -2.394 index points 2026-08-04: -2.482 index points 2026-08-05: -2.592 index points 2026-08-06: -2.761 index points 2026-08-07: -2.764 index points 2026-08-10: -2.863 index points 2026-08-11: -2.907 index points 2026-08-12: -2.74 index points 2026-08-13: -2.782 index points 2026-08-14: -2.817 index points 2026-08-17: -2.824 index points 2026-08-18: -2.661 index points 2026-08-19: -2.624 index points 2026-08-20: -2.675 index points 2026-08-21: -2.814 index points 2026-08-24: -2.757 index points 2026-08-25: -2.734 index points 2026-08-26: -2.741 index points 2026-08-27: -2.847 index points 2026-08-28: -3.03 index points 2026-08-31: -2.767 index points 2026-09-01: -2.749 index points 2026-09-02: -2.768 index points 2026-09-03: -2.725 index points 2026-09-04: -2.791 index points 2026-09-07: -2.874 index points 30 Dec 2025 04 May 2026 07 Sep 2026 Showing periods 6,574–6,753 of 6,753 in this date range. Each chart page contains at most 180 original periods; values are not downsampled. All retained snapshot-selected periods are available.
← Older periods Uses snapshot-selected vintages. The final eight exact values in this window are tabulated above. The pinned JSON query provides all matching observations and provenance; follow its cursor for further pages.
Snapshot identity & machine-readable report Snapshot ero_us_macro_financial_20260910T003539Z_f004bde27e96 Profile version 10.0.0 Generated 10 Sep 2026 · 00:47 UTC Analytical content SHA-256 f004bde27e969e3c81739b5588813c41b24e66d3926e28a0455a2692f9797820 Open the pinned JSON report Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov. Data access dates are supplied as retrieved_at in canonical observations. Latest retained BLS access: 05 Sep 2026 · 21:45 UTC. BLS source terms
Source: BIS debt service ratio statistics. Model-based estimates. ECO I's calculations and interpretation are its own; BIS does not endorse them. BIS data are provided free of charge with attribution. BIS statistical-use terms