Showing periods 1–31 of 31 in this date range. Each chart page contains at most 180 original periods; values are not downsampled. All retained snapshot-selected periods are available.
Uses the data available in this saved assessment; later revisions may change historical values. This reconstructed chart does not show what was known on each historical date. Missing source periods break the line; unavailable metric values are omitted. Quality is evaluated at the assessment date.
Exact values · final 12 periods in this chart window
Exact plotted metric readings
Economic period
Value
Unit
Quality
31 Aug 2025
4.3
%
Stale
30 Sep 2025
4.4
%
Stale
30 Nov 2025
4.5
%
Stale
31 Dec 2025
4.4
%
Stale
31 Jan 2026
4.3
%
Stale
28 Feb 2026
4.4
%
Stale
31 Mar 2026
4.3
%
Stale
30 Apr 2026
4.3
%
Stale
31 May 2026
4.3
%
Stale
30 Jun 2026
4.2
%
Valid
31 Jul 2026
4.1
%
Valid
31 Aug 2026
4.1
%
Valid
Economic period & freshness
Calculation uses the latest completed observation available at evaluation time, with its actual economic period and original availability. An older period contributes to assessment only within the configured source-age limit. Newly observed missing or invalid evidence is not replaced with an earlier value. Source status uses economic-age thresholds, not a release calendar; no future release time is inferred.
Source timing diagnostics
Input
Latest source period
Observation age
Available to ECO I
Source status
Unemployment rate
31 Aug 2026
10 days
05 Sep 2026 · 21:45 UTC
Current
THE PUBLISHED TRANSFORM
What this value measures
Civilian unemployment rate, age 16 and over
Output the original BLS seasonally adjusted civilian unemployment rate for the latest available monthly period.
The unemployment rate describes the share of the civilian labor force actively seeking work and available for work; it is not a crash probability. Monthly current revised estimates retain published missing periods and source footnotes. No gaps are interpolated and annual averages are excluded. Population-control updates and seasonal revisions can affect comparability. This rate level is descriptive context, not the Sahm recession indicator.
Credit: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Retrieval dates accompany the observations. BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov. File hashes identify the exact retrieved bytes; these are not historical point-in-time vintages.
Chart source observations · 32 periods in this window
Showing periods 1–32 of 32 in this date range. Each chart page contains at most 180 original periods; values are not downsampled. All retained snapshot-selected periods are available.
Uses snapshot-selected vintages. The final eight exact values in this window are tabulated above. The pinned JSON query provides all matching observations and provenance; follow its cursor for further pages.
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. BLS.gov cannot vouch for the data or analyses derived from these data after the data have been retrieved from BLS.gov. Data access dates are supplied as retrieved_at in canonical observations. Latest retained BLS access: 05 Sep 2026 · 21:45 UTC. BLS source terms
Source: BIS debt service ratio statistics. Model-based estimates. ECO I's calculations and interpretation are its own; BIS does not endorse them. BIS data are provided free of charge with attribution. BIS statistical-use terms